UConn's offense making strides (Fuller)

[huskymedic]

http://runwayramblings.blogspot.com/2015/09/uconns-offense-making-strides.html

>>The first number to jump out at me is that through four games last year the opposing team had 40 points off UConn turnovers and this year the number is 3 (personally, I would make the total 40-7 as I would count the two safeties as turnovers since UConn lost possession but that is not how they are tabulated). Also, through four games last season the Huskies allowed three non-offensive touchdowns in the first four games and there have been no such events this season (although there have been two safeties). Also, the opponents' average offensive touchdown scoring drive after four games in 2014 was 57.3 yards and this year it is 71.9.

There's still plenty of work to be done because many of the numbers below, while they are improved, are still not overly impressive but you do have to walk before you can run.

Here are the areas of the largest improvement by percentage
Opponents' points off turnovers: 92.5 (from 40 to 3)
Rushing touchdowns: 75.0 (from 1 to 4)
First downs by rushing: 48.4 (from 16 to 31)
Sack yardage lost: 43.7 (from 103 to 58)
Rushing yardage: 40.6 (from 257 to 433)
Turnovers: 37.5 (from 8 to 5)
Yards per carry: 31.0 (from 2.0 to 2.9)
Sacks allowed: 29.4 (from 17 to 12)
Yards per pass: 23.8 (from 6.1 to 8.1)
Total offense: 20.9 (from 253.2 to 320.0)
Yards per play: 20.0 (from 4.0 to 5.0)
Tackle for loss allowed: 20.0 (from 40 to 32)
First downs: 17.3 (from 64 to 75)
Completion percentage: 17.2 (from 52.8 to 63.8)
Passing yardage: 10.1 (756 to 847)<<

 

[EdgewoodNHV]

I think Fuller is far and away the best UConn journalist working in the area and the only one doing any legitimate analysis.

 

[mikedog10]

Here are the areas of the largest improvement by percentage
Opponents' points off turnovers: 92.5 (from 40 to 3)
Rushing touchdowns: 75.0 (from 1 to 4)
First downs by rushing: 48.4 (from 16 to 31)
Sack yardage lost: 43.7 (from 103 to 58)
Rushing yardage: 40.6 (from 257 to 433)
Turnovers: 37.5 (from 8 to 5)
Yards per carry: 31.0 (from 2.0 to 2.9)
Sacks allowed: 29.4 (from 17 to 12)
Yards per pass: 23.8 (from 6.1 to 8.1)
Total offense: 20.9 (from 253.2 to 320.0)
Yards per play: 20.0 (from 4.0 to 5.0)
Tackle for loss allowed: 20.0 (from 40 to 32)
First downs: 17.3 (from 64 to 75)
Completion percentage: 17.2 (from 52.8 to 63.8)
Passing yardage: 10.1 (756 to 847)<<

What stands out to me is they are running the ball better, and turning the ball over less. These are the huge gains. They also have better signal calling than in years but need to improve pass protection to realize their full potential.

 

[Husky25]

Good Lord, who did/checked the math? Improvement is measured by the gap of improvement as the numerator and historical (not present) data as the denominator. The way the below stats are presented, the math only works if less is better. Why does this matter? Because whoever checked the math marginally undercuts Fuller's point.

For instance, Opponents' points off turnovers: 92.5 (from 40 to 3), is correct. 92.5% improvement

However, Rushing touchdowns: improving from 1 to 4 is actually 300% improvement (4-1 = 3/1 = 3 x 100 = 300%).

The rest
First downs by rushing: 48.4 (from 16 to 31) - 31 - 16 = 15 / 16 x 100 = 93.75% improvement
Rushing yardage: 40.6 (from 257 to 433) = 68.5% Imp...(saying improvement for here on out is redundant)

Yards per carry: 31.0 (from 2.0 to 2.9) = 45%
Yards per pass: 23.8 (from 6.1 to 8.1) = 32.8%
Total offense: 20.9 (from 253.2 to 320.0) = 26.3%
Yards per play: 20.0 (from 4.0 to 5.0) = 25%
First downs: 17.3 (from 64 to 75) = 17.2%
Completion percentage: 17.2 (from 52.8 to 63.8) = 20.8%
Passing yardage: 10.1 (756 to 847) = 12.04%

 

[huskymedic]

Good Lord, who did/checked the math? Improvement is measured by the gap of improvement as the numerator and historical (not present) data as the denominator. The way the below stats are presented, the math only works if less is better. Why does this matter? Because whoever checked the math marginally undercuts Fuller's point.

Email him... he appreciates the feedback.

 

[Husky25]

Email him... he appreciates the feedback.

I took your suggestion. He said I make a good point and republished his article without the percentages.

I think the amended presentation is more in line with the post. For one thing some of the stats (e.g. rushing TDs) are based on such a small sample size that the 300% increase is misleading on its own right.

 

[Chin Diesel]

Along with empirical proof, the eye test says UConn is actually running plays that has receivers open and have learned how to run the WR screen. Haven't seen that in years. Plus, against Navy, the runs to the left where Samra pulled were generating actual holes for an RB. Those are signs of improvement.

 

[NYUConn]

Though it's obvious we're a better offense, I still hold my breath every time we pass.

Old habits die hard.

 

[J187Money]

Good Lord, who did/checked the math? Improvement is measured by the gap of improvement as the numerator and historical (not present) data as the denominator. The way the below stats are presented, the math only works if less is better. Why does this matter? Because whoever checked the math marginally undercuts Fuller's point. For instance, Opponents' points off turnovers: 92.5 (from 40 to 3), is correct. 92.5% improvement However, Rushing touchdowns: improving from 1 to 4 is actually 300% improvement (4-1 = 3/1 = 3 x 100 = 300%). The rest First downs by rushing: 48.4 (from 16 to 31) - 31 - 16 = 15 / 16 x 100 = 93.75% improvement Rushing yardage: 40.6 (from 257 to 433) = 68.5% Imp...(saying improvement for here on out is redundant) Yards per carry: 31.0 (from 2.0 to 2.9) = 45% Yards per pass: 23.8 (from 6.1 to 8.1) = 32.8% Total offense: 20.9 (from 253.2 to 320.0) = 26.3% Yards per play: 20.0 (from 4.0 to 5.0) = 25% First downs: 17.3 (from 64 to 75) = 17.2% Completion percentage: 17.2 (from 52.8 to 63.8) = 20.8% Passing yardage: 10.1 (756 to 847) = 12.04%

Thanks. I didn't have to point this out lol.