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Message: [QUOTE="Nostical, post: 5081808, member: 749"] ESPN SP+ rankings. SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing. It is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling--no good predictive system is. It's simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky but unimpressive in a win, your rating will likely fall. If you're strong but unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise. This week's movers Let's take a look at the teams that saw the biggest change in their overall ratings. (Note: We're looking at [I]ratings[/I], not [I]rankings[/I].) MOVING UP: [B]UConn: up 5.8 adjusted points per game (from 116th to 97th)[/B] Virginia: up 4.8 points (from 79th to 62nd) Cincinnati: up 4.3 points (from 62nd to 50th) South Alabama: up 4.2 points (from 84th to 71st) Duke: up 4.2 points (from 52nd to 34th) North Texas: up 4.2 points (from 99th to 88th) Iowa State: up 3.9 points (from 33rd to 26th) SMU: up 3.7 points (from 38th to 28th) Jacksonville State: up 3.6 points (from 122nd to 112th) Kentucky: up 3.6 points (from 31st to 23rd) Once a team has played four games, the opponent and conference adjustments begin to get stronger and the weight of the preseason projections diminishes considerably. We therefore saw some teams (like Kentucky) move up or down based both on their Week 4 performance and all these other factors as well. But the teams that moved up the most did so because of particularly impressive Saturday performances. UConn was a slight underdog against FAU but won by 34 points, while South Alabama won by 34 as a road underdog. The Jaguars began the season poorly but have skyrocketed after back-to-back brilliant performances. [/QUOTE]

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