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[QUOTE="Watchdog, post: 3452718, member: 10325"]
It's a bit premature to start predicting morbidity and mortality rates when the virus has only been identified and tracked for less than 3 months. The Scientific American article that follows has estimates of how rates of transmission differ for flu and the Coronavirus (flu spreads to 1.3 people from a single infected person while Coronavirus spreads to 2.2, or about 70% more) and also estimates mortality rates of 0.05% for the flu and 2% for the Coronavirus (about 40 times more).

However, the newness of any virus also effects morbidity and mortality rates: "[U]Still, officials note that in the beginning of an outbreak, the initial cases that are identified “skew to the severe,” which may make the mortality rate seem higher than it is[/U], Alex Azar, U.S. secretary of the Health and Human Services, said during a news briefing on Jan. 28. The mortality rate may drop as more mild cases are identified, Azar said.

[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-does-the-new-coronavirus-compare-with-the-flu/[/URL]
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