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Message: [QUOTE="Jimbo, post: 2097701, member: 6751"] Just in case anybody wants to compare or play around with 538's projections from those seasons, here are the links (538 didn't have this feature for the women's tournament until 2015): [URL="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-march-madness-predictions/womens/"]2016 March Madness Predictions[/URL] [URL="https://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/march-madness-predictions-2015/#womens"]2015 March Madness Predictions[/URL] I think the 52% probability determination is not so much a slight against UConn this year as it is a reflection that UConn's 2015 and 2016 teams were ridiculously good. A 70+% probability figure is just completely insane, but those two teams probably justified it. [/QUOTE]