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Message: [QUOTE="RSTuthill, post: 2561406, member: 7322"] I like that site too. But I am not sure how they are calculating their percentages -- probably because I did not take the time to figure it out. But here is my take. If UConn gets 3 points out of the next three games they will almost CERTAINLY end up alone in 7th. For this not to happen UNH or UVM would have to take 8 points out of their next 6 games. In other words, 75% of the remaining points available to them. That ain't gonna happen. I assess UConn's chances of taking 3 points as about 50%, slightly above their current record because they are playing pretty well during this stretch drive. Perhaps a loss at NE, a tie against BU, and a win against UMA. Now, if they only get 2 points in the last three games, either UNH or UVM would have to take only 7 out of twelve points to tie UConn. That is a lot more probable but still unlikely. The chances of moving up to 6th? Almost nill. So there we have it. Seventh place is a lot more likely than any other scenario. [/QUOTE]