UConn (+4.5) for tonight | The Boneyard

UConn (+4.5) for tonight

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Right next to each other in KenPom. Seems like a lot of home court advantage added in.
 
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^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

It opened @ Stanford -6 at many books. KenPom has Stanford winning by 3 with a 66% chance to win on their home court. UConn 96th in AdjO/22nd AdjD. Stanford 34th in AdjO/73rd AdjD per KenPom.

If Virginia doesn't win it all this year (think they get bounced in E8/or National Semi)...NEXT year they will be a threat to go undefeated and should be a prohibitive favorite to win it all barring injury. You prolly would only get 8/1 odds across the strip though on that wager for next years National Champion which is always stretching it from a value perspective. 2 other teams are already shaping up to look like nice 100/1 plus picks for next year's Nat. Champ futures wager barring an unexpected run this year.
 
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It was only 2.5 in the NY Post this am. Things change??
 

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^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

It opened @ Stanford -6 at many books. KenPom has Stanford winning by 3 with a 66% chance to win on their home court. UConn 96th in AdjO/22nd AdjD. Stanford 34th in AdjO/73rd AdjD per KenPom.

If Virginia doesn't win it all this year (think they get bounced in E8/or National Semi)...NEXT year they will be a threat to go undefeated and should be a prohibitive favorite to win it all barring injury. You prolly would only get 8/1 odds across the strip though on that wager for next years National Champion which is always stretching it from a value perspective. 2 other teams are already shaping up to look like nice 100/1 plus picks for next year's Nat. Champ futures wager barring an unexpected run this year.

It opened at -3.5, went to -6 almost instantly. Came back to -4.5 for a while but has been at -5.5 with juice for hours. Surprised it hasn't gone back to 6.

Normally I'd assume UConn is DOA based on that but the line movement this college basketball season has been in the wrong direction.
 

whaler11

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If you want a future with value next year - root against Georgetown in March.
 

whaler11

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WYNN was -6...to open.

I have 2 others I like :). Thanks though...

It opens offshore long before the Wynn puts up a line.

They hang a line that was already bet into.
 
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If you want a future with value next year - root against Georgetown in March.
Utah getting taken to the woodshed right now but opened at 300/1 at several books. I had my finger on the trigger for that 1 and took it off. Best value of the year so far. Them and Northern Iowa.
 
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