I feel like a broken record here, but that first game against Oklahoma State is absolutely a must-win.
The difference between
0-1, a scrimmage against Chaminade, and a game against mediocre Georgetown/Tennessee
vs.
1-0, with chances at 2 Top 10 scalps in UNC and Oregon/Wisconsin
is enormous.
Min (1-2) to max (3-0), that's probably a 6 seed line difference, with that first game accounting for 2-3 seed lines on its own.
A loss in that first game also means we face probably 1 ranked opponent all year and likely limits us to a #3/4 seed at best unless we run the table in conference play.
Just imagine, what would 2011 have looked like if we lost to Wichita State?