UConn -17 tonight

[XLCenterFan]

Waaaay to many points. Even if they cover, it’s a bad bet to take the favorite in this spot. Gimme the Hoyas.

 

[8893]

Waaaay to many points. Even if they cover, it’s a bad bet to take the favorite in this spot. Gimme the Hoyas.

Can I parlay this with Hawkins never being drafted?

 

[CL82]

Waaaay to many points. Even if they cover, it’s a bad bet to take the favorite in this spot. Gimme the Hoyas.

Bookmarked

 

[Chin Diesel]

I'm not saying it's a gimme.

No way am I taking my team as a home favorite at -17 in a conference game.

Can't imagine watching UConn play a decent game, control the majority of the game, avoid injuries, win by 16 and I lose money.

 

[jibsey]

Georgetown played Nova and Providence close in their last 2 games. Georgetown is 0-5 conference and pretty desperate here. Ewing’s job may be on the line. My concern is not the points but getting the freakin win.

 

[Tenspro2002]

+17 is an easy pick. Nothing is a slam dunk, but this is almost certainly a +EV play.

People saw the Butler scores, figure "well, UConn beat Butler by 18 twice, and Georgetown has a worse record" and there you go.

Georgetown is better than their record, and our last score against Butler is actually pretty misleading.

I expect this to be played mostly in the 7-12 range.

 

[SoFla Steve]

Caesar's (from ESPN) has the line at 15.5.

 

[Jay-Bone]

Caesar's (from ESPN) has the line at 15.5.

Yeah, I can't find 17 anymore. Missed the boat.

 

[huskiesNhoos]

People saw the Butler scores, figure "well, UConn beat Butler by 18 twice, and Georgetown has a worse record" and there you go.

Not picking on you, because I know this is tongue in cheek, but this was a funny example of the board lately just trashing folks like odds makers and particularly NBA scouts as if they have no clue how to do their job (granted it certainly seems that way sometimes)

 

[Hey Adrien!]

So for you retired folks out there, put all of your savings on the ML and your portfolio advisor would consider this "a low risk investment".

 

[auror]

+17 is an easy pick. Nothing is a slam dunk, but this is almost certainly a +EV play.

People saw the Butler scores, figure "well, UConn beat Butler by 18 twice, and Georgetown has a worse record" and there you go.

Georgetown is better than their record, and our last score against Butler is actually pretty misleading.

I expect this to be played mostly in the 7-12 range.

Butler beat Georgetown by 14 on the road. Marquette beat Georgetown by 28 on the road. St. John's beat Georgetown by 19. Nova beat them by 11 on the road (add 6 for the home switch and you're at 17).

Providence only beat them by 8 but they basically never don't blow anyone out based on the way they play.

Adjusted for court, those are all 17+ home court margins except Providence. Georgetown has dropped 100 spots in KenPom so far this year.

 

[August_West]

another one I would never touch.

 

[August_West]

Georgetown played Nova and Providence close in their last 2 games. Georgetown is 0-5 conference and pretty desperate here. Ewing’s job may be on the line. My concern is not the points but getting the freakin win.

That's how I feel about this. I watched some of the Nova game. Georgetown didnt look that bad for a good portion of it.

Are they good this year?

No.

Are they capable of putting a game together that can beat anyone in the league? Yes absolutely.

 

[Letsgohuskies11]

saw the moneyline this morning was like +1750, so if you bet $10, you are making like 50 cents on it. Doesnt seem worth the risk of a bad Uconn performance

 

[UconnU]

I don’t care. I’m betting on a cover. GTown is legitimately terrible, Sanogo might have 30 and 15.

 

[jibsey]

SJ smoked SH away last night. Anyone see that coming?

 

[August_West]

I don’t care. I’m betting on a cover. GTown is legitimately terrible, Sanogo might have 30 and 15.

Absolutely could happen. I feel way better with the URI moneyline tonight though than giving 17.

 

[HeGotGame]

That's how I feel about this. I watched some of the Nova game. Georgetown didnt look that bad for a good portion of it.

Are they good this year?

No.

Are they capable of putting a game together that can beat anyone in the league? Yes absolutely.

Anyone? May want to start with someone first.

Fri Jan 7	119	36	Marquette	L, 92-64	75		Home	6-6
Thu Jan 13	129	147	Butler	L, 72-58	68		Home	6-7
Sun Jan 16	139	87	St. John's	L, 88-69	72		Away	6-8
Thu Jan 20	152	56	Providence	L, 83-75	67		Away	6-9
Sat Jan 22	161	8	Villanova	L, 85-74	65		Home	6-10
Tue Jan 25		18	Connecticut	L, 84-67	70	6%	Away
Sat Jan 29		147	Butler	L, 72-68	67	36%	Away
Tue Feb 1		35	Seton Hall	L, 81-73	73	24%	Home
Thu Feb 3		87	St. John's	L, 82-78	75	38%	Home
Sun Feb 6		56	Providence	L, 77-71	69	32%	Home
Wed Feb 9		103	DePaul	L, 82-74	73	24%	Away
Sat Feb 12		47	Creighton	L, 76-70	70	28%	Home
Mon Feb 14		47	Creighton	L, 80-67	70	12%	Away
Wed Feb 16		36	Marquette	L, 84-70	73	10%	Away
Sat Feb 19		8	Villanova	L, 81-61	65	3%	Away
Thu Feb 24		103	DePaul	L, 79-77	73	46%	Home
Sun Feb 27		18	Connecticut	L, 80-70	70	17%	Home
Wed Mar 2		35	Seton Hall	L, 84-70	73	10%	Away
Sat Mar 5		23	Xavier	L, 86-69	72	7%	Away

 

[UconnU]

Absolutely could happen. I feel way better with the URI moneyline tonight though than giving 17.

It’s down to -15.5. Love the good guys.

 

[Psolo12]

I took over 147.5, think we score a ton and they can shoot a little bit. See 85+ for us and 65+ for them

 

[Huskybass]

The game will be tight for a while and the 17 will seem like a gift. But in the end, the good guys cover.

 

[Edward Sargent]

If Danny can’t cover 17 he should be fired!!!

 

[August_West]

Anyone? May want to start with someone first.

Fri Jan 7	119	36	Marquette	L, 92-64	75		Home	6-6
Thu Jan 13	129	147	Butler	L, 72-58	68		Home	6-7
Sun Jan 16	139	87	St. John's	L, 88-69	72		Away	6-8
Thu Jan 20	152	56	Providence	L, 83-75	67		Away	6-9
Sat Jan 22	161	8	Villanova	L, 85-74	65		Home	6-10
Tue Jan 25		18	Connecticut	L, 84-67	70	6%	Away
Sat Jan 29		147	Butler	L, 72-68	67	36%	Away
Tue Feb 1		35	Seton Hall	L, 81-73	73	24%	Home
Thu Feb 3		87	St. John's	L, 82-78	75	38%	Home
Sun Feb 6		56	Providence	L, 77-71	69	32%	Home
Wed Feb 9		103	DePaul	L, 82-74	73	24%	Away
Sat Feb 12		47	Creighton	L, 76-70	70	28%	Home
Mon Feb 14		47	Creighton	L, 80-67	70	12%	Away
Wed Feb 16		36	Marquette	L, 84-70	73	10%	Away
Sat Feb 19		8	Villanova	L, 81-61	65	3%	Away
Thu Feb 24		103	DePaul	L, 79-77	73	46%	Home
Sun Feb 27		18	Connecticut	L, 80-70	70	17%	Home
Wed Mar 2		35	Seton Hall	L, 84-70	73	10%	Away
Sat Mar 5		23	Xavier	L, 86-69	72	7%	Away

I dont want to be the "first" . LOL. I mean you can tag the rest of this post for posterity if you wish. But Georgetown isnt going winless in league this year. And one of those wins will come against a team ranked far above them in KenPom or Torvik or whomever you want to use as your qualifier. They beat Cuse. Respect them for that.

 

[XLCenterFan]

I have Hoyas +17.

If it drops down to 14 (it's been seen at 15.5), I will bet Huskies and go for the good 'ole middle. Very rare.

 

[UconnU]

Game is on CBSSports Network(?) which apparently will cost me $50 per month lol because I’m on some really low grandfathered rate with Spectrum from the time Warner acquisition so I can’t make changes. If anyone knows where to watch shoot me a PM.