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Message: [QUOTE="Storrs South, post: 2932738, member: 7275"] ESPN has a predicted point differential of 15.8 and gives UConn a 89.3% chance of winning UML is currently 4-4, #294 on KenPom. This is a team that lost to Central Connecticut by 12. Best win of the year of UML Is Wagner (KenPom #260). In other words, this needs to be another game where UConn absolutely blows the opponent out. This needs to be another complete effort like we saw v. UNH where little resistance is met. This is going to be a high scoring game as it pairs UConn (19th in PPG) v. UML (47th in PPG). The O/U of 160.5 reflects this. Both teams shoot nearly identical from 3 (35.2% v. 35.3%). UML also happens to be 326th in the country in points scored on them per game (84.7). This is going to be a fast pace game. Hurley has done a great job instructing bigs to make the outlet pass right after a rebound allowing guards to go make plays against defenders on their heels. KenPom has UConn's adjusted tempo as 82nd fasted in the country; UML is at 19th fasted in the country. It is going to be a track meet tomorrow. We know that UConn has struggled with turnovers this season (13.8/game, 180th in the country in turnovers a game). UML actively tries to give the ball away with an average of 16.4 turnovers a game good for 319th in the country. We know that UConn has struggled with foul trouble this season (21.7/game, 294th in the country). UML somehow finds a way to be worse in this area with 22/game, 303rd in the country. Given the fast pace nature of this game, UConn can get away with fouls a little more than usual should a defender beat them on fast break since UML is bad from the foul line: 68.6% good for 194th in the country. This is something UConn needs to improve going forward currently at 69.4% or 168th in the country. No prediction, just want to see an absolute blowout on the order of the UNH game. [/QUOTE]

Verification: First name of men's bb coach