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Message: [QUOTE="Bone Dog, post: 4841192, member: 12088"] This seems a bit optimistic to me. Even with a NET rank of 4 two months from now -- which would probably mean we'd had a great conference season and defeated ND decisively and had no worse than a close loss to SC -- I suspect we'd end up just a bit further down the S curve, maybe in the 5-8 range, that is we'd be a 2 seed. This also assumes that other teams took a few losses in conference, which seems almost inevitable. For example, if we end up 27-4, I suspect Iowa would have to be 25-5 or worse for us to edge them out of a 1 seed. Same for Texas LSU and NC St. My guess is the 1 seeds will end up being SC, Stanford, UCLA and one of those teams, and we'll be somewhere below them. And frankly, looking at Iowa's schedule (just as an example) I wonder where those 4 losses are going to come from. The likeliest candidates are IU and tOSU who both play them twice. But other than a surprising upset, I don't see any other strong challenges on their schedule. Same for LSU. They'll probably take a big loss to SC, and maybe a second one in the SEC tournament, but beyond that I don't see two obvious challenges -- maybe Tennessee???? NC St is the likeliest of this lot to lose 4 more games since they play several ranked teams in conference: Va Tech, Duke, UNC, Louisville, and ND. Texas maybe losses to Baylor again, and K St, but it would take a loss to Iowa St to get them 5 losses. [/QUOTE]