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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 4048588, member: 1329"] Even if he makes a nice leap, which we're hoping but isn't assured, there's still a good chance he wouldn't be a top 100 player. There are 4.5k college basketball players. Top 100 is the 98th percentile. We were roughly 9 points of net rating better with him on the bench than playing last year. I don't think he would have started for any top 50 team last year, and he was likely worse than the best or top couple players on probably the next 100 teams and definitely some other high major bench players. He was somewhere in the range of the 400-500th best player in college basketball last year. Still 90th percentile. That's about right for a highly regarded but somewhat struggling high major freshman. A nice leap has him bypass good bench guy, bottom tier starter, and goes right to decent high major starter level. Which is probably around 200th best player. Yes, 12 of the top 100 are freshmen. But 72 of the top 100 are juniors, seniors, or redshirt seniors (yes, this year in college basketball is going to be especially deep because of those free red shirt years for seniors). You have to be an elite fresh or soph to be as good as guys with 2 or 3 more years of development, and he has not shown enough to make me think he will be elite this year. I will be surprised if he's consistently our best player or an all-Big East level player. It's within his range of outcomes, but it is not the most likely outcome. [/QUOTE]