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Message: [QUOTE="Ricker, post: 4991436, member: 1245"] But how optimistic are you really? If you are the athletic director do you lay out $2-$3million to insure this year's bonuses with the risk of coming up with a total waste? Do you insure now with a guess about Karaban because you get better odds? Do you wait for Alex's decision which might increase cost but also increase successful probability? Keep in mind the bonuses include regular season title, Big East tourney, and other bonus events. (Maybe winning Maui, making ncaa field, etc) Probably a high probability of collecting $400k to $1 million but high risk on the rest. [/QUOTE]