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Third and final top-16 reveal
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[QUOTE="Fightin Choke, post: 2587447, member: 2605"] The advanced metrics use margin of victory (MOV), which the committee does not consider. While using MOV makes the model more predictive in picking winners, it also can be manipulated by running up huge margins against overmatched foes. I have seen the jump in Sagarin's and Massey's ratings when a good team scores a huge win (over 50 points) over a terrible foe. The effect is muted in Massey, but not in Sagarin. It was previously muted when Sagarin used ELO Chess as one of his measures (along with Predictor), but Golden Mean (its replacement) is also scored-based. Where the composite and thus overall rating was previously a hybrid of ELO Chess and Predictor, now it's primarily Predictor and Golden Mean with a small dose of Recent (also score-based) added in. [/QUOTE]
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Third and final top-16 reveal
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