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Message: [QUOTE="JoePgh, post: 5202448, member: 1131"] Ashlynn has been shooting well in the last few games, but in this Boneyarder burst of enthusiasm, let's not forget that she was 2-for-9 (and 0-for-3 from 3) for just 4 points in the Tennessee game as recently as February 6. She was 4-8 and 1-4 from 3 for 9 points against Southern Cal, and 0-5 and 0-1 for zero points against Notre Dame in her home state. So does that mean (as the above posts imply) that she has suddenly "regained her confidence"? Or does it just mean that the Law of Averages is working its will, with a high standard deviation in Ashlynn's case (as also with many 3-point shooters)? I think the latter explanation is more likely. As I watch the Celtics, it is very apparent that even great 3-point shooters like Tatum, Pritchard, and Hauser can have very bad shooting nights around their 40%+ averages, and when they do, the Celtics can be vulnerable. UConn has played two upper-level SEC teams on their home courts in February. They shot very badly in one game and amazingly well in the other. It's plausible to draw the conclusion that this was the decisive difference in the outcome each game. If UConn had shot as well against Tennessee as it did against South Carolina, UConn would have won. If UConn had shot as poorly against South Carolina as it did against Tennessee, it might very well have lost to the Gamecocks. That implies that the up-and-down pattern of Ashlynn's shooting is likely to continue, against both good teams and bad teams. The same is true of Azzi (albeit with a lower standard deviation from the average), and with Sarah and Kaitlyn. That's why Geno would like, if possible, to develop an inside and mid-range game to complement the 3-point shooting, since that kind of offense should be less subject to wild swings, I.e., it may produce fewer points on average, but it will have a lower standard deviation. [/QUOTE]

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