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Different format this week, and late getting this posted, in each case because I’m just so damn ticked off.
1. Losing games as a double digit favorite just can’t happen very often if you’re trying to dig yourself out of a hole. When it happens, it normally means you’re being either outcoached or outhusted or both, and that was certainly the case Saturday. Frankly, it’s hard for me to tell whether it was one, the other, or both. Our offense looked so putrid but for the opening play and the last five minutes of the half that it wasn’t clear to me whether Rice knew what plays we were running or just were working harder than we were. But on a lot of the incomplete passes, or too short passes, I didn’t see open receivers down field. It was as if they were playing with 12 to our 11.
2. In the history of college football overtimes, the best I can tell no division 1 school had lost two OT games in a single season. We’ve lost 3 in 5 road games. Statistically that puts this in the manna from heaven level of probability. Great. I’m assuming the staff has metrics that were used, and I’m not smarter than supercomputers, but in a college OT the advantage of playing defense first is so huge that I would think if you play D first in the first OT you would almost always want to go for 2 rather than force a second OT, where you’ll now be at a disadvantage, in the second OT.
3. The defense was actually fairly good for 60 minutes but for 2 totally misplayed plays for long TDs. “But OTHER than that Mrs. Lincoln, did you enjoy the play?”
4. We’ve played really well (despite the late collapse at the Dome) in both games against ACC opponents, and then in each case followed it up with a game in which we played like we thought we were levels above our opponent. And pulled defeat from the jaws of victory. That’s on the upper class leaders of a team as well as the coaching staff. Probably more on the upper class leaders.
5. When your kicker hits 11 straight FG attempts, you could almost be certain that when he finally misses it will cost you a game. Curious whether we travel with different cleats for different field conditions and any thought of I DON’T KNOW, DOING SOMETHING after Freeman slipped the first time.
6. I’m assuming Edwards’ carries are way, way down because of the various injuries he’s dealing with, and that’s fine, but Rosa gets 2 carries for 10 yards and no more? And Flowers gets carries ahead of Lundburgh—Coleman who has looked so good in his cameos? WTF.
7. We can go back to what I said about Mora on day one. We hired a competent football coach, and if he leaves us tomorrow we owe him a lot for the shape the program is in now compared to what he took over. But he was not a genius with any track record at all of his teams being more than good. And even if we go 8-4 again, I will repeat what I said last year before the bowl game — last year, at 8-4, we didn’t have a single win as good as our best 3 wins in ‘22 when we went 6-6 (Fresno State, BC and Liberty). One can easily argue that the roster isn’t any better than we were in Mora’s first year with mostly the prior guys’ players. Just that we have better coaching.
8. I didn’t read the post-game thread because I was too depressed to hear all the ugliness I’m sure was there, but one point that we need to accept as a fan base — it’s hard to win on the road. We went 8-4 last year because we only had 5 road games and while we went 2-0 on the road against the G5, the win at UAB required a real improbable comeback and the other was against UMass, which should hardly count. It is probable that you move any of the three losses to the Rent and we win the games. But you don’t get to play all your games at home (unless you’re Duke and Carolina playing hoops in the NCAA tourney).
That’s it. Saturday made me hate the fact that I care so much about this damn team. I’m not sure even a win on this Saturday is going to keep me from being as depressed as I’ve been for the last 48 hours until we get our shot at Duke.
1. Losing games as a double digit favorite just can’t happen very often if you’re trying to dig yourself out of a hole. When it happens, it normally means you’re being either outcoached or outhusted or both, and that was certainly the case Saturday. Frankly, it’s hard for me to tell whether it was one, the other, or both. Our offense looked so putrid but for the opening play and the last five minutes of the half that it wasn’t clear to me whether Rice knew what plays we were running or just were working harder than we were. But on a lot of the incomplete passes, or too short passes, I didn’t see open receivers down field. It was as if they were playing with 12 to our 11.
2. In the history of college football overtimes, the best I can tell no division 1 school had lost two OT games in a single season. We’ve lost 3 in 5 road games. Statistically that puts this in the manna from heaven level of probability. Great. I’m assuming the staff has metrics that were used, and I’m not smarter than supercomputers, but in a college OT the advantage of playing defense first is so huge that I would think if you play D first in the first OT you would almost always want to go for 2 rather than force a second OT, where you’ll now be at a disadvantage, in the second OT.
3. The defense was actually fairly good for 60 minutes but for 2 totally misplayed plays for long TDs. “But OTHER than that Mrs. Lincoln, did you enjoy the play?”
4. We’ve played really well (despite the late collapse at the Dome) in both games against ACC opponents, and then in each case followed it up with a game in which we played like we thought we were levels above our opponent. And pulled defeat from the jaws of victory. That’s on the upper class leaders of a team as well as the coaching staff. Probably more on the upper class leaders.
5. When your kicker hits 11 straight FG attempts, you could almost be certain that when he finally misses it will cost you a game. Curious whether we travel with different cleats for different field conditions and any thought of I DON’T KNOW, DOING SOMETHING after Freeman slipped the first time.
6. I’m assuming Edwards’ carries are way, way down because of the various injuries he’s dealing with, and that’s fine, but Rosa gets 2 carries for 10 yards and no more? And Flowers gets carries ahead of Lundburgh—Coleman who has looked so good in his cameos? WTF.
7. We can go back to what I said about Mora on day one. We hired a competent football coach, and if he leaves us tomorrow we owe him a lot for the shape the program is in now compared to what he took over. But he was not a genius with any track record at all of his teams being more than good. And even if we go 8-4 again, I will repeat what I said last year before the bowl game — last year, at 8-4, we didn’t have a single win as good as our best 3 wins in ‘22 when we went 6-6 (Fresno State, BC and Liberty). One can easily argue that the roster isn’t any better than we were in Mora’s first year with mostly the prior guys’ players. Just that we have better coaching.
8. I didn’t read the post-game thread because I was too depressed to hear all the ugliness I’m sure was there, but one point that we need to accept as a fan base — it’s hard to win on the road. We went 8-4 last year because we only had 5 road games and while we went 2-0 on the road against the G5, the win at UAB required a real improbable comeback and the other was against UMass, which should hardly count. It is probable that you move any of the three losses to the Rent and we win the games. But you don’t get to play all your games at home (unless you’re Duke and Carolina playing hoops in the NCAA tourney).
That’s it. Saturday made me hate the fact that I care so much about this damn team. I’m not sure even a win on this Saturday is going to keep me from being as depressed as I’ve been for the last 48 hours until we get our shot at Duke.
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