It will definitely affect recruiting. I'm guessing SNY may become a thing of the past. Why would ESPN give up the rights on any games they can just dump onto ESPN+, making subscribers have to pay an extra $5 per month to see? That means all the pre and post game shows and probably the Geno Auriemma Show will be gone forever.
Talk about exposure? There are about 86 million cable subscribers that get the ESPN channels currently. ESPN+ has 2 million. Those numbers are going to change dramatically over the next several years with cord cutting, but opposing P5 coaches are going to hammer us with recruits, saying that next to nobody will be seeing your games. It's also a concern if you have out-of-state parents of recruits with limited means. Telling them they have to pay an extra $5 per month to see their daughters play won't be a good thing.
I believe our bowl revenue and NCAA tournament shares from the men's side are in addition to the 7 million, so maybe another 1.5 million on average from those revenue streams. If we could get our Tier 3 rights back we wouldn't have to share those with the rest of the AAC. It's not fair that we get about 1.5 million from SNY for the women's package and then it all gets shared by the rest of the conference. None of the other schools generate any Tier 3 revenue from their women's programs.
One good thing about the ESPN+ deal is they are going to televise other AAC sports, like soccer and baseball, which gets some exposure for the Olympic sports teams, but the potentially negative effect on recruiting in the revenue generating sports is troubling.
We may be able to get somewhere in the neighborhood of 10 million per year when all is said and done, but the lowest payout P5 league gets about 25 million. The largest payout league, the Big 10, gets over 40 million per school per year. We're therefore competing against conferences that can outspend us anywhere from 2.5/1 upwards of 4/1 or worse. The only good thing is this deal should quiet some of the UCONN fans advocating that football be dropped and we should return to the "new" Big East for all other sports. our media deal is now at least a couple million better than theirs, and the ratings on FOX absolutely suck for NBE basketball.
Mike Aresco was supposed to be a savvy media rights negotiator. While it was important to keep the rights on the ESPN platform for exposure, a 12 year deal is far too long, and toward the end of it they'll be buying these rights for a pittance. Still, football will be the only way to get into a P5 league. No grant of rights was made, so any AAC school can leave the league anytime they want to, without forfeiting any media rights revenues to the other schools.