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Message: [QUOTE="JoePgh, post: 3063175, member: 1131"] I think you missed the point of this thread. It wasn't to excuse the loss in Waco; it was to assess the probability that the Waco result is likely to be repeated in a second game on a neutral court in Tampa. My assessment is that there are about 54-46 odds of Baylor winning such a rematch, but no more than that. Enough stuff happened in Waco that is not likely to happen again that UConn certainly has a reasonable chance to win the game. How often has Alabama (recently) been a prohibitive favorite in football and lost the national championship game? Nick Saban and Geno have led parallel lives in that respect recently. Back to WCBB, what if UConn and Baylor played a 5-game series, as if they were WNBA teams? I think Baylor would win that series, but would not sweep it. [/QUOTE]