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Message: [QUOTE="JoePgh, post: 5172238, member: 1131"] A team that has Azzi, Paige, and Sarah, with Ashlynn / Morgan / Allie on the bench, should be in the top 10% of the country in 3-point shooting. If it isn't at that level yet, then the problem should be fixable as the team gets more reps against more opponents. However, those who pay attention to the NBA know that a certain green team in New England, with 3-point shooters like Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, and Jaylen Brown (with Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, and Al Horford on the bench) has had a lot of games lately where they have shot below 33% from 3 -- and they have lost many of those games. Supposedly the number crunchers in the Celtics front office have calculated that if the Celtics take 40% of their shots from 3-point land and hit 35%, they should win almost every game. Last year, those numbers appeared to be borne out. The fact is that 3-point shooting is very hot-and-cold, and both hot streaks and cold streaks seem to be contagious across all members of the team. Mid-range shots are a more consistent and lower-risk way to run an offense, as [USER=12516]@Rowdy831[/USER] suggests in his post above. I don't think Geno will ever get to the point that Joe Mazzulla has with the Celtics, taking 40% of the team's shots from the 3-point line. But I would expect that the long-term trend is for UConn as a team to hit in the high 30% range from 3, and that recent performances have simply reflected the bottom end of the probability curve. So I think Geno will continue to want the team to take about a third of its shots from distance, and the efficiency will improve through the workings of the Law of Large Numbers. [/QUOTE]

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