I've found Greg Swaim to be one of the more accurate reporters re: conference realignment. He has some solid sources. (FWIW, he started reporting the real possibility of FSU to BigXII back in January.) Here's some recent observations re: UConn, ND, and several others in the Big East. (Start at the bottom of the post and work your way up):
Greg Swaim@GSwaim
"@lou_cards: @GSwaim any chance Louisville still gets in big 12" // A chance, yes. But lack of TV revenue UL would generates hurts chances.
2hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@TheRealRonFunk: @GSwaim UCobb? I thought Nebraska went to the B1G." // LOL. Good catch!!
3hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@kthompson61: @GSwaim Miami going anywhere?" // Could well get left out.
3hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@walkinthehpark: @GSwaim ND is seriously in the big 12 mix? Including football?" // that's the only way they should get in.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@coosyville: @GSwaim where do those Big East schools land (Cards, UConn, Rutgers and Cincy)?" // most likely #ACC.
Greg Swaim@GSwaim
"@AJ97Wildcat: @GSwaim @dbl_j_22 Will they likely be the next ACC replacements?" // Yes.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@jkevinporter: @GSwaim where do u think each of these schools land?" Eventually all #ACC.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@Dbl_J_22: @GSwaim What (if any) teams do you think the Big East will lose besides #CardNation?" // Eventually #Rutgers, #UCobb & #Bearcats
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
@LaSportsDude If history and traditional rivalries are trumped by cash, as it seems, we'll know for soon if #ND goes #Big12.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
@trumpetwvu Exactly. It's only about TV money.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
@RUJerry If #ND chooses #Big12 over #B1G, #MSU, #MU & #Purdue may not play them anymore. Rivalries the major casualty of realignment.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
It's always been assumed that#ND would go #B1G eventually, when indy became obsolete, but Neinas & Dodds throwing out some huge incentives.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
@RUJerry #B1G & #Big12 only legit options for #ND, but as of today B1G is still favored to get them. We'll watch this one very closely.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
Assuming#FSU & #ND (still a longshot) joined #Big12, don't think they necessarily stop at 12. Neinas relishes making B12 #1 as his legacy.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@meintweet: @GSwaim @GSwaim @ChipBrownOB ND & FSU would be amazing. And we'll stop at 12." // and would make Double D a very happy camper.
4hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
#ND still contemplating life as an indy, but slowly coming around to reality. #Big12 offering them their own network though, so...
5hGreg Swaim@GSwaim
"@OlatheWildcat12: @GSwaim @ChipBrownOB hearing stuff about #ND, Heard anything yet?" // #B1G leader now, but #Big12 much more proactive.
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It's always been assumed that
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Assuming
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