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Message: [QUOTE="OkaForPrez, post: 4242443, member: 997"] First round target 7 upsets primarily relying on Vegas odds as the indicator. Take all Vegas favorites in the 8/9. Look for the tightest lines in the 10/7 if no favorite 10 seed. Then follow a similar strategy until you round out your 7 upsets. From there go mostly chalk the rest of the way and depending on the size of the pool look for your value pick champion. If you feel strongly about a 1 seed pick them but make sure you have a final four outlier. Total of final 4 seeds should add up to around 9-10. There are some good posts on the Reddit CBB forum which list key indicators, their ranges for the last 20 champs and who this years qualifiers are. As an aside. UConn 14 and 11 break most of these conditionals as outliers. And this is the single biggest indicator of the existence of the mojo. [/QUOTE]