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HuskyHawk

The triumphant return of the Blues Brothers.
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Again, watch the market technicals, don’t bother with market fundamentals.

Technicals are garbage. People mapping trends as those same trends change more rapidly than they can predict. It’s a fool’s errand. Fundamentals don’t mean what they did when I was a finance major at UConn. Now you need to understand change and disruption and attempt to predict it. Most are betting all over hoping to hit a winner.

Tesla has crap fundamentals. It exploded while it had crap fundamentals (and has huge short positions as a result). The technical market is irrelevant to it as well. It’s simply a bet on a change agent that they will pull something off.
 
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Technicals are garbage. People mapping trends as those same trends change more rapidly than they can predict. It’s a fool’s errand. Fundamentals don’t mean what they did when I was a finance major at UConn. Now you need to understand change and disruption and attempt to predict it. Most are betting all over hoping to hit a winner.

Tesla has crap fundamentals. It exploded while it had crap fundamentals (and has huge short positions as a result). The technical market is irrelevant to it as well. It’s simply a bet on a change agent that they will pull something off.

LOL, I would love to see CONN78's technical analysis of Any of the indices and the 30% pullback defined on it. Even the Covid crash of March only brought the DOW down 26% over 4-5 days.
 
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Money that has been in the Asian markets is coming back to US Equities.
Some of the US and western investments in various types of mainland and HK equities are being reallocated, but not all is returning to various types of US equities. Diversifying sure, yet a fair chunk reallocated to other global markets, e.g., developed and emerging alike within Asia and beyond, including Europe, UK, Latam, even Africa, etc.
 
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I think OHI could be a really good buy right now. Plus you get paid to wait with a juicy 8% yield
Yup, plus other health care REITs, e.g., DOC (leases to hospitals, doctors' office buildings, other healthcare facilities) and MPW (US and global hospitals).
 
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OHI has been trending down for the past 6-7 months, I would wait and see if it tests and holds that $28 support range again.
 
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LINK: possible sub 20 today after the CCParty boys’ reiteration all crypto ist verboten. Well, except for RMB Crypto and electro-Yuan minting.
 

the Q

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OHI has been trending down for the past 6-7 months, I would wait and see if it tests and holds that $28 support range again.

That would bring it down to the early pandmeic

At a 9% yield on cost that would fit in literally any profile
 

the Q

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LINK: possible sub 20 today after the CCParty boys’ reiteration all crypto ist verboten. Well, except for RMB Crypto and electro-Yuan minting.

The Best kind of days
 

HuskyHawk

The triumphant return of the Blues Brothers.
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Some of the US and western investments in various types of mainland and HK equities are being reallocated, but not all is returning to various types of US equities. Diversifying sure, yet a fair chunk reallocated to other global markets, e.g., developed and emerging alike within Asia and beyond, including Europe, UK, Latam, even Africa, etc.

I pulled the plug on my EM funds while I ponder where I think growth will come. I think U.S. companies relying on Asian manufacturers will increasingly seek to diversify to this hemisphere. I think more critical components of tech products will start to be made south of Texas somewhere (not Brazil). I'd buy a Panama fund if I knew of one. That's the best positioned country from what I can see.

I think there is room for "cheap manufacturing" to expand beyond China and SE Asia to LATAM and Africa. My t-shirts, underwear and running shoes seem to usually be from Vietnam. Why not Peru?
 
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Picked up some CRPT crypto ETF trust

Isn't the company managing that run by Anthony Scaramucci? Or am I thinking of a different ETF?

I do love the idea of a cyber economy ETF... I just won't put my money anywhere near something that assclown runns.
 
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I pulled the plug on my EM funds while I ponder where I think growth will come. I think U.S. companies relying on Asian manufacturers will increasingly seek to diversify to this hemisphere. I think more critical components of tech products will start to be made south of Texas somewhere (not Brazil). I'd buy a Panama fund if I knew of one. That's the best positioned country from what I can see.

I think there is room for "cheap manufacturing" to expand beyond China and SE Asia to LATAM and Africa. My t-shirts, underwear and running shoes seem to usually be from Vietnam. Why not Peru?
For several years+, developed Asian manufacturing nations (JP, HK, KR, TW, SG, and mainland China) have shifted increasing levels of value-add work within Asia. Even in mainland China, rising 1st tier city costs began pushing work west and to the far north even in 2010; 2nd tier for several years.

More "cheap(est)" Asia manufacturing's extensively moved/moving within Asia. For example, textiles, widget assembly, etc to Bangladesh, Cambodia, Laos, less so MY, TH, and VN (Or, to Central America; increasingly see clothing made in Honduras, El Salvador, etc).

Vietnam's deep harbors and relatively low labor costs attract(ed) increased manufacturing, yet VN's getting pricey for lowest-value add assembly. Still, the VNM ETF's mentioned months/ a year back's been very good (less so recently due to SARS-2 which is now subsiding despite Nike's recent comments).

Kept good chunk of Asian EM ETF allocation yet diversified AND hedged mainland big time. Re-allocated some of mainland ETF holdings, and rest of EM to INDA and SMIN (India), ILF (Latam), CEE, with a tiny bit to AFK (Africa).

Given Peru's messy government status, resource nationalization threats, etc, PE's not so enticing IMHO. Post-Nov Chilean election maybe, yet ILF covers both flaky PE and Chile, BR, AG, CO, etc.

Panama? No clue on a Panama-specific ETF. Consider BLX mentioned several months/year back. Panama City-based, Latin America trade finance bank. Panamanian grad school colleagues view BLX favorably and reportedly know all of the lead execs well. BLX has been very good for me, is perceived to have decent upside potential, and pays a 6% yield. No plan to sell. Costa Rica? Both such tiny equity markets.

Not advice, just some BSing
 

HuskyHawk

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For several years+, developed Asian manufacturing nations (JP, HK, KR, TW, SG, and mainland China) have shifted increasing levels of value-add work within Asia. Even in mainland China, rising 1st tier city costs began pushing work west and to the far north even in 2010; 2nd tier for several years.

More "cheap(est)" Asia manufacturing's extensively moved/moving within Asia. For example, textiles, widget assembly, etc to Bangladesh, Cambodia, Laos, less so MY, TH, and VN (Or, to Central America; increasingly see clothing made in Honduras, El Salvador, etc).

Vietnam's deep harbors and relatively low labor costs attract(ed) increased manufacturing, yet VN's getting pricey for lowest-value add assembly. Still, the VNM ETF's mentioned months/ a year back's been very good (less so recently due to SARS-2 which is now subsiding despite Nike's recent comments).

Kept good chunk of Asian EM ETF allocation yet diversified AND hedged mainland big time. Re-allocated some of mainland ETF holdings, and rest of EM to INDA and SMIN (India), ILF (Latam), CEE, with a tiny bit to AFK (Africa).

Given Peru's messy government status, resource nationalization threats, etc, PE's not so enticing IMHO. Post-Nov Chilean election maybe, yet ILF covers both flaky PE and Chile, BR, AG, CO, etc.

Panama? No clue on a Panama-specific ETF. Consider BLX mentioned several months/year back. Panama City-based, Latin America trade finance bank. Panamanian grad school colleagues view BLX favorably and reportedly know all of the lead execs well. BLX has been very good for me, is perceived to have decent upside potential, and pays a 6% yield. No plan to sell. Costa Rica? Both such tiny equity markets.

Not advice, just some BSing

All good stuff. You know the Asian economies much better than I do. I just expect (a) pressure from US Government to expand supply of critical components outside of China's sphere of influence and (b) shipping costs, to drive diversity of supply (tech specifically). You are right on Honduras, I have seen that. Will look at BLX.

I really pulled out of the ETFs due to my own lack of confidence in my understanding of the Asian markets. I need to do more before diving back in. I stay away from what I don't know, even in the U.S. That makes me less diversified than I should be.
 
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All good stuff. You know the Asian economies much better than I do. I just expect (a) pressure from US Government to expand supply of critical components outside of China's sphere of influence and (b) shipping costs, to drive diversity of supply (tech specifically).
Don't disagree. Agree on market divergence, you know far more techie stuff, and emerging, non-mainland markets appear to be balancing their delivery to both western and mainland buyers. Best example, Singapore. Separately, Vietnam works closely with Korean and Japanese companies. Some others may increasingly suck up to Winnie the Pooh (Xi) and his CCParty boys, e.g., Laos. Or, end up sort of or literally sucked up. Taiwan? Time will tell, and western companies and nations have plenty of alternatives closer to home. Ideally, NarcoMexico cleans up its' cluster mess.
 
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Isn't the company managing that run by Anthony Scaramucci? Or am I thinking of a different ETF?

I do love the idea of a cyber economy ETF... I just won't put my money anywhere near something that assclown runns.


Yes that is the fund that Scaramucci pimps, not sure if he actually manages it.
 
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Forget the fundamentals and the technicals. Forget what your grandfather taught you as this market doesn't play by the old rules. Play the volatility, just like crypto. Buy and sell in increments. Always take profits each green day like the next will fall off the cliff. Then BTFD. I sold GEVO up to $8 and bought back in down to $6. This is the way.

My cousin panics on big dips and doesn't buy. Then he pump chases like everything will be AMC. This is not the way.
 
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GEVO - Renewable fuel company up ~42% earlier after CVX-GEVO aviation fuel partnership announced. GEVO now ~36% up. Not selling either.
Always take profits. Even if only a portion of holdings. Welcome to pump n dump school.
 
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Forget the fundamentals and the technicals. Forget what your grandfather taught you as this market doesn't play by the old rules. Play the volatility, just like crypto. Buy and sell in increments. Always take profits each green day like the next will fall off the cliff. Then BTFD. I sold GEVO up to $8 and bought back in down to $6. This is the way.

My cousin panics on big dips and doesn't buy. Then he pump chases like everything will be AMC. This is not the way.
Buying and selling ain't the way either.
 
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Always take profits. Even if only a portion of holdings. Welcome to pump n dump school.
The moral of this story is, no matter how awesome GEVO or LINK is at the moment, if the stock market or BTC tank, they gonna tank too. A lot of people can't comprehend this essential simple concept.
 
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Forget the fundamentals and the technicals. Forget what your grandfather taught you as this market doesn't play by the old rules. Play the volatility, just like crypto. Buy and sell in increments. Always take profits each green day like the next will fall off the cliff. Then BTFD. I sold GEVO up to $8 and bought back in down to $6. This is the way.

My cousin panics on big dips and doesn't buy. Then he pump chases like everything will be AMC. This is not the way.

The beta's in this market must be unreal

Of you know how to read the candlesticks, you can make out like a bandit
 
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Always take profits. Even if only a portion of holdings. Welcome to pump n dump school.
Guaranteed breakeven months back and then some near high earlier this month, yet small potatoes and well hedged. Graduated from profits school a few moons ago. ;)
 
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