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Message: [QUOTE="Patman, post: 4830588, member: 3391"] When I look at these things I mostly take the tact of a probabilist (not a statistician be cause that requires lots of data... which is the heart of the problem) in that I think most people want to see the 3rd stringer and so on because to them its the great mystery and they have the hope it'll pan out but havent seen the reason it wont yet. Of course there's always the idea the coach might be wrong and the player has the magical "intrinsics" that will just happen if you get the power to show if can happen. And sometimes there's something to it. Scott zolak, 4th stringer in 1992 wins two games of a foresaken 0-14 season. There's other situations too but they don't happen often. People will not let go of these thoughts because they embed an obvious hope [/QUOTE]