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[QUOTE="businesslawyer, post: 4562438, member: 55"]
As a predictive measure, you are correct.  As an achievement measure, you are off by 180 degrees.  I want the Committee to reward winning, not predictive metrics.

Most simple example.  Team A and B each play Team C at home and Team D on the road.  Team A beats C by 1 and D by 3.  Team B beats C by 27 and loses to D by 1.  Based only on those two games, the Committee absolutely needs to seed A above B, because with identical schedules A went 2-0 and B went 1-1.  Vegas may favor B when they play, because performance metrics take Husky Hawk's position of it doesn't really matter if you win or lose.  NO ONE WHO HAS EVER PLAYED A GAME OF ANYTHING WILL TELL YOU THAT IT DOESN'T REALLY MATTER IF YOU WIN OR LOSE, AND NO ATHLETE ALIVE WOULD BE HAPPIER TO HAVE BEEN TEAM B IN THIS EXAMPLE THAN TEAM A.  (I apologize for using block caps, which I almost never do on the internet, but that people are still having this debate strikes me as absurd.)
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First name of men's bb coach