Beginning of the season I wrote that this team wasn't that bad and that Ollie should be expected to win 18 games to be taken seriously. I likened this team to a good mid-major team...strong backcourt and big but not overly athletic front line. But after reading all the supposed fans, all the guys who were way more knowledgeable than I, I revised my thinking and said well , maybe he just needs to finish with 16 wins...way too many, I was told. So I said well, they know lots more than I do...and revised my thinking further and said he's got to finish .500.
Let me ask, prior to the season, what would you have put their record at after 15 games?
UConn being 12-3 right now was not something you imagined (nor anyone did likely). I had them at 9-3 OOC or even 8-4 if they lost a winnable game. Vegas agreed with me, they were favored in 9 of the 12 OOC games they played. Marquette was a bit of a tossup for me, but Vegas had Marquette. ND was a loss (my expectations pre-season). I thought at best UConn would be 11-4 (2-1) right now, but at worst 9-6 (1-2). 16-18 games is right in the wheel house based on that. UConn has exceeded expectations, by a lot. Even your 18 game estimation may be low, especially as UConn could easily be 13-2 right now (darn Marquettes 18% 3PT shooter).
I think if you asked people now, they would think 18 is very doable, but not at the beginning of the season.
Of the 15 games remaining, 7 are against PCx2, USFx2, @Seton Hall, @SJU, @DePaul.
Remainder are: UL, @Pitt, Rutgers, Cuse, Nova, Cincix2, Georgetown.
Basically all the remaining games against top competition are at home and the games against the bad teams in the BE are on the road. Of course winning on the road in the BE is tough against any team, but it is probably the best/easiest schedule UConn could hope for in the BE. Only way it could be easier is if UConn had SHU twice instead of Cincy. PC, USF, DePaul and Cincy as the four home-away games...