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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 3456976, member: 1329"] If we won out, then beat Tulane, Wichita, and Houston (again) in the AAC tourny before losing to Cincy in the final, we'd be right on the bubble. We'd still have losing record in both Q1 & Q2 with 2 bad losses. We might get the bump for being a hot team and not the same team that lost some of those games and make it, but I'd still be pretty skeptical of our chances. We'd be low 50s in NET and mid 60s in WAB. I'd say 1 in 3 chance. But if there's any sort of upset to Houston or Cincy, we'd have little shot. [/QUOTE]