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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 4883561, member: 1329"] My top 16 prediction from my simple model... (25% resume ave, 25% predictive ave, 20% Q1 performance, 10% first 2 quad win margin, 10% first 3 quads win%, 5% away/neutral rec, 5% OOC SoS) [TABLE] [TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]S-Curve[/TD] [TD]Seed[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Purdue[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]UConn[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Houston[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Arizona[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Marquette[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]North Carolina[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Tennessee[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Baylor[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Auburn[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Iowa St[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Alabama[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kansas[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Duke[/TD] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Dayton[/TD] [TD]14[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Wisconsin[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Illinois[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Differences between me and BracketMatrix... I have UNC and Tenn swapped on the 2-line. I have Kansas as the last 3 instead of a 2 and Baylor in their spot. Auburn moves up a couple within 3rd seed. And I have Dayton in a protected seed ahead of Creighton and up above Wiscy. Committee does usually favor power ratings a decent amount for seedlines 2-8 or so (less so for bubble), so I'm surprised to see Kansas on 2-line so often. [/QUOTE]

Verification: First name of men's bb coach