Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="CTtransplant, post: 2038152, member: 6529"] [ATTACH=full]19667[/ATTACH] This again brings up the issue of what is the best way to calculate the forecast which is closest to the actual result. Winlots has always said it is based on margin of victory, but there have been others who argue that you could have the best margin of victory and still be very far away from the actual score. I have tended to calculate the mathematically closest forecast when there is a significant discrepancy. In this case it was very close, and, indeed, ochoopsfan was closer to the actual score by a slight margin. This game, only 5 forecasters beat Massey. I am sure those 5 would not want to forecast the scores for 349 D1 teams twice each week. Massey is pretty darn good! I know I owe some of you an explanation for the calculation of the distance. I will do that tomorrow. [/QUOTE]