Road Game Statistics Since '14 And What It Means For Bowl Eligibility

[Drew]

Had some time to myself today and ran a quick breakdown of road games for UConn since 2014 when Bobby D took over. This isn't meant to be an indictment of Bob, but rather to outline how crucial it is for us to win our remaining 3 home games.

Since Bob took over in 2014...


UConn has played in 13 true road games (Army at Yankee is not included in these statistics) for a combined 2-11 record with the wins coming over an 0-12 UCF team and a 3-9 Tulane team in which the only UConn score was a pick 6 from Jamar Summers.

UConn has been outscored in these road games 332-195

Average score in road games since 2014:

Opponent: 26

UConn: 15

We've scored over 28 points once in these games, the 2015 UCF game which we won 40-13. Remove this from our points average and we average 13 points per game.

So what does all of this mean? Well we need to win the remaining 3 at home or we are more than likely not going bowling in 2016. UConn gets beaten on average by 2 scores on the road often times not even scoring over 20 points. The game against UCF this weekend is CRUCIAL to UConn's bowl hopes for 2016. We need to hold serve against UCF, Temple, and Tulane. If we drop one we need to figure out where we can steal a road game somewhere along the line.

I don't have time to do this until tonight but I am hoping to run a similar analysis on the home games in the Diaco era to compare average records and points scored per game. But the above outlines out thin our margin for error is. Protect our home turf, and we go bowling. Drop one at home, and we probably are watching bowl season from our couches.

 

[Drew]

Here are the home stats to be able to compare to the above road game stats for UConn since Bob took over in 2014. Its interesting to me to note that the D has gotten better each year at home so far while the offense actually is averaging less ppg at home this year than they were last year despite returning a lot of starters. Regardless, we score 4 more points per game at home than we do on the road under Bob and if you take out 2015 @UCF game we average a full touchdown more per game at home than we do on the road. This speaks again to the crucial nature of winning the remaining home games in order to making a bowl in 2016.

Home stats:

UConn has played 17 home games under Bob Diaco for a combined 9-8 record with wins coming over Stony Brook, UCF, Villanova, Army, ECU, #19 Houston, Maine, Virginia, and Cincinnati.

UConn has been outscored by their opponents in these home games 329-429.

Average score in home games since 2014:

UConn: 19

Opponent: 25

(Average w/o 2014: 21-21)

Year by year breakdown:

2016

Home Games: 4

Points at home: 81

Avg ppg: 20

2015

Home Games: 6

Points at home: 131

Avg ppg: 22

2014

Home Games: 7

Points at home: 117

Avg ppg: 17

Total (2014-16):

Games at home: 17

Points at home: 329

Average points per game: 19



Opponents:

2016:

Games: 4
Points: 71
Average: 18

2015:

Games: 6
Points: 136
Average: 23

2014:

Games: 7
Points: 222
Average: 32


Observations: we scored 14 more points at home in 2015 than we did in 2014 and we had an extra home game in 2014. We are also on pace to pass last years points at home total although we will have 7 home games in 2016 by the time it is all said and done. UConn has scored 28+ points 2 times in these games (UCF 2014 and ECU 2015). Can we expect an offensive explosion in the last 3 home games at some point? Home field advantage clearly means something to the Huskies at least on offense. While Vegas usually pegs home field advantage at 3 points, when removing the @UCF game from 2015 we tend to have a home field advantage of 6 points! Lets hope the boys come to play this weekend and remember in the future that while it is always nice to sneak one on the road, the Huskies are much more likely to pick up a W and score more points at home than they are on the road.

 

[NorwalkHusky]

The BC game will be at least 1/3 uconn fans I'm hoping. When I went to our a hockey game there back in 2015 it was rocking tons of uconn fans and they were heard

 

[Drew]

thought this would be an interesting time to bump this. amazing how different our O and D is comparing home and away. The ECU game is not included in the above statistics