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When you talk to folks who own lots of student housing - both on-campus & off-campus - the subject of CCs comes up. And State Colleges far outside the Flagship Public Research University levels. They believe that "Internet" courses effect on Higher Ed has a huge potential impact through this space. My point ... we are looking at change. I don't think we know what direction either the CCs or the State Colleges OR the AAU is going.
I find this whole topic inane. The P5 Cartel has WORKED to constrain advancement. Then, I see some UCF or USF ... or a Texas State in San Marcos or other growing in 20% increments every few years. How does Football never be impact by the shear inertia of the education system going in a different direction. These schools could be a far better market than Wake Forest or Boston College. I simply don't think we have seen Football quite land in calm waters.
When our 10 year olds become professors in 25 years, you might see some effective MOOCs. So far the results have been disastrous, and I think its because the current generation is incapable of really assuming themselves as educators in virtual space. But the real problem is that when a student is out of class, playing candy crush, talking on the phone, eating cereal, smoking a cigarette or drinking beer, while watching a MOOC in fast forward, very little knowledge will be retained or gained. Net result: 4% of students complete MOOCs right now, and those are the good ones, the MOOCs without disastrous tech difficulties. I think there will be a future for MOOCs in Gen. Ed., but it's not going to change the face of higher education. Right now, our Gen. Ed. courses are taught by people making $2k per course, and that's who will be replaced by MOOCs. but we're at least 25 years, if not 50 years away.