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Rebounding Margin: Simple Stats Tell Lies
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[QUOTE="Bone Dog, post: 5163272, member: 12088"] To win, you must score more points than your opponent. To do this you must do any or all of these: 1) shoot more shots than they shoot, and/or make shots at a higher % than they do, 2) get more possessions than they get, 3) make more free throws than they make. These are the only [U]direct[/U] factors involved in winning. Rebounding is not a [U]direct[/U] factor in any victory. However, it can be critical for #2 if we consider an o-board as a new possession. This is why people worry so much about winning the rebounding battle. The other contributing factor in #2 is creating turnovers. In recent years, we have been better at the turnover component of #2 than the rebounding component, though there have been exceptions. This season, we are winning the rebounding battle 36-32 and the turnover battle 18-10. This is a slight improvement (so far) over last season (38-33, 17-13), and clearly better than the year before that (41-31, 14-16). You have to go back to 2017-18 to find a significantly better rebounding/turnover advantage (38-27, 17-12), Which is on a par with the NC champion teams — a double figure rebounding advantage and a 4-5 turnover advantage. As for #1, this is impacted by better shooting (and indirectly by better passing) and by better defense against opposing shooters. Rebounding also has an indirect role to play here. [/QUOTE]
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Rebounding Margin: Simple Stats Tell Lies
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