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[QUOTE="husky429, post: 4006243, member: 6696"]
I'm confused... are we just ignoring

#2 Ben Simmons - All star
#3 Jaylen Brown - All star
#4 Brandon Ingram - All star
#11 Henry Ellenson - NBA
#20 Jalen Brunson - NBA
#22 Dwayne Bacon - NBA
#25 Luke Kennard - NBA
#27 Thomas Bryant - NBA
#37 PJ Dozier - NBA
#41 Chimezie Metu - NBA
#43 Malik Beasley - NBA (all star?)
#45 Justin Patton - NBA
#46 Dejounte Murray - NBA
#49 Derrick Jones - NBA

So, 4 out of the top 10 are career NBA guys.

8 out of the top 25 are in the league.

16 out of the top 50

Not sure about top 100.

I would guess in an average year that 50% of the top 10 become decent NBA players, 25-35% of the top 50, and less as you get farther from the top, with your outliers like Russ or Steph sprinkled in, of course.

To me, the rankings are more accurate than I would have expected, frankly. This year they obviously misjudged a few kids in the 50-150 range you referenced, but I wouldn't say 5 guys being in the league out of 100 in that range is a huge indictment on rankings pros.

Top 10 is usually pretty clear IMO. Then 20-50ish is kind of jumbled. and 50-150 is practically meaningless.
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