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Prognosticator's Game 7 (Baylor) Predictions
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[QUOTE="cferraro04, post: 3796119, member: 267"] Why does everyone think Di Di Richards will play off of Paige Buekers? Maybe Ursin Moon gets that call. If Di Di is on Buekers then who guards Westbrook or Williams? I think this is an up and down game. I also think that UConn may play sloppy in the first half after such a long layoff and then pick it up in the 2nd half. The key is to keep Olivia out of foul trouble as we will need a presence in the post both defensively and offensively. I think Williams and Griffin have great games. Makurat finds her stroke. Paige and Edwards both have freshmen moments but have decent games. UConn win 81 - 77 Olivia Nelson Ododo (JR) - 6'5" (23.2 minutes) 17.2 points; 8.7 rebounds; Anne Makurat (SO) - 6'2" (30.2 minutes) 5.8 points; 4.7 rebounds Evina Westbrook (RS JR) - 6'0" (30.3 minutes) 9.5 points; 4.8 rebounds Paige Buekers (FR) - 5'11" (35 minutes) 18.2 points; 6.0 rebounds Christyn Williams (JR) - 5'10" (36 minutes) 17.0 points; 6.0 rebounds Aaliyah Edwards (FR) - 6'3" (16 minutes) 10.2 points; 4.2 rebounds Aubrey Griffin (SO) - 6'1" (15.5 minutes) 5.8 points; 3.3 rebounds Nika Muhl (FR) - 5'10" (11 minutes) 0.0 points; 0.7 rebounds Mir MacLean (FR) - 5'11" (6.3 minutes) 4.3 points; 2.2 rebounds Queen Egbo (JR) - 6'3" (19.6 minutes) 13.4 points; 7.7 rebounds NaLyssa Smith (JR) - 6'2" (27.0 minutes) 17.3 points; 9.3 rebounds Di Di Richards (SR) - 6'1" (25.7 minutes) 7.1 points; 3.0 rebounds Caitlin Bickle (JR) - 6'0" (20.1 minutes) 5.9 points; 6.9 rebounds Ursin Moon (SR) - 5'6" (24.9 minutes) 7.6 points; 5.0 rebounds Trinity Oliver (JR) - 5'9" (21.6 minutes) 7.1 points; 3.0 rebounds DiJonai Carrington (SR) - 5'11" (19.5 minutes) 12.0 points; 4.0 rebounds Hannah Gusters (FR) - 6'5" (14.4 minutes) 10.6 points; 1.8 rebounds Oliver Jordyn (SO) - 5'10" (15.0 minutes) 5.5 points; 3.3 rebounds Sarah Andrews (FR) - 5'6" (14.9 minutes) 5.4 points; 2.4 rebounds Jaden Owens (SO) - 5'8" (12.0 minutes) 3.5 points; 1.5 rebounds A couple of observations: Baylor averages 90.3 points per game while holding their opponents to 48.9 UConn averages 87.0 points per game while holding their opponents to 49.7 Baylor's scoring margin is 41.7 UConn's scoring margin is 37.3 Baylor shoots 28 for 98 from three for a .286 percentage from three (3.5/game) UConn shoots 37 for 111 from three for a .333 percentage from three (6.2/game) Baylor shoots .504 from the floor UConn shoots .537 from the floor Baylor shoots 126 for 184 from the line for a .685 average UConn shoots 75 for 111 from the line for a .676 average Baylor gets 53.1 rebounds per game UConn gets 45.5 rebounds per game Baylor gets 26.1 assists per game UConn gets 22.7 assists per game Baylor turns the ball over 16.8 times for a 1.6 Assist / TO ratio (points off turnovers 27) UConn turns the ball over 15.7 times for a 1.4 Assist / TO ratio (points off turnovers 24) Baylor gets 13.1 steals per game UConn gets 10.3 steals per game Baylor gets 5.3 blocks per game UConn gets 5.2 blocks per game Baylor's advantages are lots of seniors and junior leadership; Baylor gets to the line more often than UConn; Baylor plays an aggressive defense getting steals and causing turnovers only a little better than UConn. UConn's advantages: They are a little better shooting team, they hit more 3s per game, they take care of the basketball a little better than Baylor. This game will come down to match-ups. While Baylor is more mature with more seniors and juniors than UConn. UConn is extremely talented. I do not agree that the game plan posted earlier for beating UConn is as easily achievable as the poster seem to indicate. I believe game plans are good and necessary but the match-ups and the individual performances that day are the "x" factor. Who will step up for UConn will Christyn Williams have a record day? Will Aubrey Griffin find her stride? Will Olivia stay out of foul trouble and prove she belongs in the conversation for one of the best bigs in the country? Will Evina show why she was so successful in Tennessee? Will Paige Buekers prove why she was number one coming out of high school or will she get nervous on the big stage and suddenly remember that she is only a freshman? Will Makurat find her 3 point shot? And will Aaliyah Edwards continue to impress? There are a lot of variables here that make the aforementioned game plan more difficult than it appears. Keep in mind Baylor heretofore has successfully spread the minutes out among 11 players, which they can do with such a heavily laden upper classmen team while UConn because of their youth has concentrated the minutes among 8 players. I don't expect to see Baylor continue to spread the minutes in this game they will shorten their bench and give more minutes to their producers. It should be noted that Carrington is only 10 for 36 from 3 point land. Olivia Nelson-Ododo vs Queen Egbo...this will be a great match-up and I think if Olivia can stay out of foul trouble she can win this match-up...slight ADVANTAGE UCONN Anne Makurat vs NaLyssa Smith - I think NaLyssa Smith is too athletic for Anne and either Aubrey or Aaliyah will need to be called in. ADVANTAGE BAYLOR Evina Westbrook vs Di Di Richards - this will be a great match-up as well. I think this match-up will be somewhat EVEN Paige Buekers vs Ursin Moon - Here we have a Senior vs a Freshman...I look look for Ursin to cause problems for Paige and hopefully Paige can stay out of foul trouble. But, at the end of the day Paige will be Paige. ADVANTAGE UCONN Christyn Williams vs Caitlin Bickle - I am looking for Christyn to have a big game she will show why she was number one coming out of high school. ADVANTAGE UCONN Bench - Baylor's bench is much deeper than UConn's - Big ADVANTAGE FOR BAYLOR I think UConn will win this game 81 to 77 [/QUOTE]
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Prognosticator's Game 7 (Baylor) Predictions
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