Predict the Nova line

[HeGotGame]

Pick to -1 UConn

Opened UConn -1

 

[XLCenterFan]

I just saw a pick 'em. Wow, we are getting respect there. Total 136.5

 

[methodology]

I just saw a pick 'em. Wow, we are getting respect there. Total 136.5

It’s not so much respect but what all the numbers and metrics say

 

[HeGotGame]

Most books now posted, consensus -1.5, and -2 at DraftKings

 

[auror]

Most books now posted, consensus -1.5, and -2 at DraftKings

DK opened at UConn -1 in my market and is now at -2.5.

 

[UconnU]

I’m betting the under. I feel like this will be a tough physical low scoring game. XL is also a tough place to shoot.

 

[XLCenterFan]

Line now UConn -2. Public action must be driving the line. I bet the sharps will start dropping big bets if it goes any higher.

 

[methodology]

Line now UConn -2. Public action must be driving the line. I bet the sharps will start dropping big bets if it goes any higher.

There’sa good chance sharps placed early, smaller wagers in UConn to get it up to 2.5 (pinnacle the best Sportsbook in the world took the game off the board last night when it jumped from 1 to 2.5). Then they started placing larger wagers on Nova +2.5 and it has dropped to 2 currently.

Be interesting to see the line movement from here till hour before game time