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Message: [QUOTE="TheFarmFan, post: 3249917, member: 9403"] I get where people are coming from here, but it's impossible for me to think it's reasonable to say anything other than I have lower expectations than I [B][I]had at this point[/I][/B] leading up to the fall of 2016. Here's why: In the fall of 2016, even with the loss of Stewwie, Tuck, and Mo, I would have said UConn had roughly 50/50 odds of another title, as I think most people would have - four straight titles, nearly two-year undefeated streak, and the most important factor "we have Geno, they don't." The Huskies had a few close calls, but were nevertheless undefeated and seemingly headed to another championship until the final seconds of the semifinals when Morgan William singlehandedly altered history. Until that point, I would have put roughly equal money on Uconn vs. "the field," because Geno had never given me any serious reason to think with the talent he had on that team he wouldn't/couldn't repeat yet again. As of now, I'm not even prepared to give UConn the best odds of any team, let alone 50%+ odds: with Baylor and Oregon looking like the strongest pre-season teams, loaded frosh classes at Stanford and South Carolina, and the teams that have snakebit UConn in recent years such as MSU and Notre Dame, I just don't see the same kind of obvious path [I]I expected[/I] UConn to have in fall of 2016. I feel like there's more parity among the top teams than just about ever, which means the relative odds for any given team have to be spread among the 5-7 reasonable contenders. In retrospect, of course, there are lots of reasons to think UConn wasn't the odds on favorite for the 2016-17 season, but I think that only seems clear in retrospect, especially given that UConn is now in a three-year title drought. All of that said, I'd certainly put money on UConn getting back to the final four. But I would have each of the past three years, too, and none of those years ended in a title either. Now, speaking as a Stanford fan first and foremost... get back to me once Ms. Bueckers is running the point! I'm [I]much[/I] more terrified of the UConn of the future than the UConn of this season, and I really wish Tara had one more season with Jones and Belibi before Bueckers shows up on the scene! [/QUOTE]

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