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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 4909593, member: 1329"] Looking through the scenarios for us, there's a couple key facts: If Purdue is overall #1 (as it likely stands right now) [LIST] [*]If UNC is #1, Tenn goes South to Dallas. We end up with Iowa St as our 2 pretty much 100% of the time since Arizona wants West and Marquette can't be in our region.. [*]If Tenn is #1, UNC goes East with us as they can't go to Detroit. [/LIST] If Purdue is NOT overall #1, then it doesn't really matter if it's us or Houston, the same stuff plays out. [LIST] [*]Both UNC and Tenn (whichever doesn't get the #1) as the top #2 would go with Purdue to Detroit due to closer distance. We end up with Iowa St as our 2 for the same logic as above (Arizona goes West and Marquette can't be in East). [/LIST] So if I were a betting man, I think it's pretty likely we end up with Iowa St except in the scenario where Purdue is the overall #1 and Tenn gets the 4th #1. This is one of the most likely scenarios, though. This hinges on Marquette hanging on to a 2 seed without Kolek playing in BET. Creighton winning the BET and joining Marquette as a 2 would probably force UNC/Tenn as the 2 in our East since neither could be in our region and Arizona has strong West preference. Creighton instead replacing Marquette makes it a similar outcome to the bullets above. If Baylor supplants Iowa St as the Big 12's 2 seed, the same would apply (unless they finished ahead of Arizona, in which case we'd probably end up with Arizona. Baylor is the rare team in the top 16 that is closer to LA than Boston). [/QUOTE]

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