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This article highlights something I had been thinking about. If you aren't top 50 in your class, why go to a P5 school and sit the bench behind seasoned 20 year old college players when you could go to a mid-major and get more if not big minutes? If after your freshman year at say VCU, like in the article, you are obviously an NBA talent they will find you. If you put up big numbers in your freshman year but aren't yet NBA ready you could transfer for big NIL $$ to a P5 school and get minutes as a sophomore. There's really not much down side.
Why Sammy Jackson, a top-70 recruit, turned down offers from every power conference to commit to VCU
Why Sammy Jackson, a top-70 recruit, turned down offers from every power conference to commit to VCU