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[QUOTE="HuskyHawk, post: 4393656, member: 1414"]
There is a big difference in timing the market based on macro trends, and trying to pick the peaks and valleys of specific stocks.  You can't do the latter, you can do the former with some reasonable degree of success.

The problem we have is that for 60 years into the 1990s things were pretty normal and predictable.  Then we got the internet, which changed everything, both access to information, speculation on that information and the ability to trade online.  That was disruptive as hell. Then we had almost 20 years of markets that were more volatile, but still with some patterns that could be predicted.  Now we are back in uncharted waters again. The bond market isn't behaving rationally.  The Treasury market was, until the last week or so, not behaving rationally.  That spooked the ever loving crap out of everyone.

Between Covid, the Ukraine/Russia war, a major attempted shift in energy supply and fractures in the global supply chain, we've got the most dynamic change since the internet/information age.  The risk/reward at this juncture is really high. You can't time this because it's unprecedented.
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