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[QUOTE="nelsonmuntz, post: 3143722, member: 833"]
You are conflating a few items.  Let's breakdown my problem with Lilliard's shot.

1) it was from 38 feet
2) It was an ISO pull up
3) He had a top notch defender on him who was also much taller
4) He didn't really run an ISO, he just dribbled the clock out and jacked up a shot.

The NBA website has a lot of sortable data, and it all says the same thing.  Catch and Shoot % is about 2-3% higher than shooting off the dribble, and a catch and shoot 3 is about 4 percentage points better.  A touch in the paint is close to 60% shooting percentage.  Contested shots are lower percentage than uncontested shots.

I don't have good data on shots from 30+ feet.  I can't find them on the NBA site in any event.  Generally closer is better.  I have no problem with setting up a few feet behind the 3 point line to space the floor, but that is not what Lillard did.  He did a 38 foot pull up over a much taller defender.

Portland didn't need a 3 pointer.  The better play was probably to break George down or run a pick and roll, not pull up from 38 feet.  It was a bad shot.
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