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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 5281394, member: 1329"] In leagues with 30 teams and only 1 team that wins the championship, there's an 18% chance a specific team would go 50 years without winning a title. Across the entire league, there's a roughly 50% chance that some team doesn't win a title in 50 years. And both of those are assuming equal team strength, which is not a good assumption. If you get unlucky and don't draft a good QB or hire the right coach, those odds would go way up. There is skill to hiring and drafting, ownership management and coaching play a factor, but way more luck than we'd generally like to admit. It's much more romantic to talk about culture, despite the fact that every coach hired in a major sports league has roughly the same culture ideas and implementation (because they all worked for someone on the way up who was trained by someone else already in the same league, etc.). Leagues with recruiting (and some extent free agency) lead to snowball dynasties, though salary caps and the like can mitigate that effect. But for UConn's sake, getting the first title increases prestige which increases fan support which increases resources which increases recruiting ability which increases team strength which leads to championships which increases prestige which increases... you get it. That's how a blue blood becomes a blue blood. [/QUOTE]