Odds to win it all | The Boneyard

Odds to win it all

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Tied for 12th.

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so who’s more believable, the wise guys or the pollsters/selection committee???

hint: rhetorical question
It's two different things. I think non-fans put action bets on UConn because of their recent history, that affects the price.
 
so who’s more believable, the wise guys or the pollsters/selection committee???

hint: rhetorical question
Odds of winning reflect more than just likelihood of winning it all. More public teams will have lower odds than they should because they will garner more betting action. If Duke was in this tourney, they'd probably have top 10/15 odds. In golf tournaments, Spieth/Phil/Tiger will have lower odds than they should because so many casuals/suckers will just blindly bet on them.
 
My current futures, all placed before the season started:

Nova 12-1
Iowa 20-1
Illini 33-1
Ohio State 40-1
Creighton 45-1
UConn 70-1

Nova is toast, but I feel like the rest all have a chance. At least a chance at some hedge action. Would love to get 2 of these teams into the Final 4.
 
Last edited:
Going for broke now. Bust mainly looking for hedge equity.

Just added: MSU 150-1
FSU 40-1
Ok. St. 30-1
SD St. 80-1
Tenn 60-1
WV 50-1

Now I have Illinois, Ok. St., SD St., Tenn, and WV out of the Midwest region, all at 33-1 or higher. That's the 1, 3, 4, 5, and 6 seeds. If just one of them gets to the Final 4, I will have some positive hedge equity. That being said, Houston (2 seed, out of the AAC, whom we have been bashing all year) will probably get there. Total, I have 12 teams, with at least 2 in each region. Should be fun, but I'll probably lose every bet.
 
Going for broke now. Bust mainly looking for hedge equity.

Just added: MSU 150-1
FSU 40-1
Ok. St. 30-1
SD St. 80-1
Tenn 60-1
WV 50-1

Now I have Illinois, Ok. St., SD St., Tenn, and WV out of the Midwest region, all at 33-1 or higher. That's the 1, 3, 4, 5, and 6 seeds. If just one of them gets to the Final 4, I will have some positive hedge equity. That being said, Houston (2 seed, out of the AAC, whom we have been bashing all year) will probably get there. Total, I have 12 teams, with at least 2 in each region. Should be fun, but I'll probably lose every bet.
Shut up gasbag no one listens to you anyway.
 

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