Nova -1.5

[uconngb]

In case there was any question how important Liam is to this team

 

[Jay-Bone]

The line went from -2.5 to +1 on DK. Was wondering if someone else was questionable. But maybe that's just the home team slide.

 

[uconngb]

I’m still seeing Nova -1

 

[Mr. French]

I took last night -1 and ML was -110 so basically pick em, moved to +100 and +1 so not drastic but seems people are picking Nova.

I take UConn because they have a better roster and better coach and need to win as much as Nova. Nova may have the best single player, so we’ll see.

 

[RuffRuff]

 

[HooperScooper]

FWIW, the ESPN match up predictor has UConn with a 55.7% chance to win the game.

UConn vs. Villanova (Jan 8, 2025) Live Score - ESPN

Live coverage of the UConn Huskies vs. Villanova Wildcats NCAAM game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats.

www.espn.com

 

[2014DualCs]

Not entirely sure this is accurate, but multiple places (thespread.com & Action Sports Network) have 97% of tickets on UConn. Even if it isn't, a majority of people will bet UConn because of their rank.

The fact that the line moved from UConn -2.5 (Open) to Nova -1 / -1.5 (Current) when a majority of bets have been placed on UConn means the sharper bettors, or "professionals," are hammering Nova.

As sacrilegious as it is, I'm on Nova -1 with the hopes UConn somehow pulls this out. Win / Win scenario. I have trust the best coach in the country will be ready for this and have our guys ready in this type of spot.

 

[Leebo]

FWIW, the ESPN match up predictor has UConn with a 55.7% chance to win the game.

UConn vs. Villanova (Jan 8, 2025) Live Score - ESPN

Live coverage of the UConn Huskies vs. Villanova Wildcats NCAAM game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats.

www.espn.com

Does it know Liam is out? I kind of doubt it's built to factor that in.

 

[Palatine]

This gives us a chance to improve our net.

 

[HooperScooper]

Does it know Liam is out? I kind of doubt it's built to factor that in.

No idea. But I would assume they need to take injuries into account or what is the use of the predictor?

 

[RuffRuff]

Not entirely sure this is accurate, but multiple places (thespread.com & Action Sports Network) have 97% of tickets on UConn. Even if it isn't, a majority of people will bet UConn because of their rank.

The fact that the line moved from UConn -2.5 (Open) to Nova -1 / -1.5 (Current) when a majority of bets have been placed on UConn means the sharper bettors, or "professionals," are hammering Nova.

As sacrilegious as it is, I'm on Nova -1 with the hopes UConn somehow pulls this out. Win / Win scenario. I have trust the best coach in the country will be ready for this and have our guys ready in this type of spot.

Banned to Scotland Boneyard

 

[jibsey]

How many people on The Yard here betting these games? What % is it? 5%?
Probably close to 100% of those clicking this thread?
I don’t really gamble but this doesn’t appear to be an easy one.

 

[Jay-Bone]

Not entirely sure this is accurate, but multiple places (thespread.com & Action Sports Network) have 97% of tickets on UConn. Even if it isn't, a majority of people will bet UConn because of their rank.

The fact that the line moved from UConn -2.5 (Open) to Nova -1 / -1.5 (Current) when a majority of bets have been placed on UConn means the sharper bettors, or "professionals," are hammering Nova.

As sacrilegious as it is, I'm on Nova -1 with the hopes UConn somehow pulls this out. Win / Win scenario. I have trust the best coach in the country will be ready for this and have our guys ready in this type of spot.

Damn, you took Nova at the low end? Thank you for the mojo. They suck this year. Normally a home court slide is 0.5-1.5 pts. The fact this slid 3.5 pts without an additional injury is weird. Must be the public processing our PC home loss ATS that the algos didn't consider. Or them figuring in Liam's absence as more significant. Sucks for me that I took us in a few 6 game parlays yesterday at open. Pray for me/us.

 

[Hunt for 7]

How many people on The Yard here betting these games? What % is it? 5%?
Probably close to 100% of those clicking this thread?
I don’t really gamble but this doesn’t appear to be an easy one.

Never bet on UConn or any of my favorite teams just bad mojo. But I feel like I should have gotten a few free dinners from my friends who I have convinced to bet on my favorite football team or UConn over the last few years.

 

[jibsey]

Nothing to do with wagering but pretty uncomfortable feeling on this one today.

 

[2014DualCs]

Damn, you took Nova at the low end? Thank you for the mojo. They suck this year. Normally a home court slide is 0.5-1.5 pts. The fact this slid 3.5 pts without an additional injury is weird. Must be the public processing our PC home loss ATS that the algos didn't consider. Or them figuring in Liam's absence as more significant. Sucks for me that I took us in a few 6 game parlays yesterday at open. Pray for me/us.

Yea, didn’t get the best line because I usually try to see where people are betting and go against the tide (bet with Vegas).

But majority of the public is actually siding with UConn, which makes the line pushing towards Nova that much scarier.

Again… hope I’m wrong and lose my $! But hedged so I at least have something to hold onto if things go south.

 

[Marat]

Stewart gets the start .

 

[TedStriker]

Nothing to do with wagering but pretty uncomfortable feeling on this one today.

Same here. Not feeling great. Hope I’m wrong!

 

[RuffRuff]

Evans got our back

 

[LIuconn]

Never in doubt
Cue up SVP bad beats UConn edition

 

[Leebo]

No idea. But I would assume they need to take injuries into account or what is the use of the predictor?

It's like any other analytics thing. I don't think kenpom or torvik, etc are adjusting for random injuries, except maybe if they are season-ending.

 

[Jay-Bone]

Yea, didn’t get the best line because I usually try to see where people are betting and go against the tide (bet with Vegas).

But majority of the public is actually siding with UConn, which makes the line pushing towards Nova that much scarier.

Again… hope I’m wrong and lose my $! But hedged so I at least have something to hold onto if things go south.

Well played. Man I hate when I let my homerism cloud my judgement.