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Message: [QUOTE="CoastAtlantic, post: 3191869, member: 5174"] Not that I want to add to the misery here but one Chris Lambert is crowing about predicting this: [MEDIA=twitter]1142477888874323968[/MEDIA] [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142478127068852226']9h9 hours ago[/URL] If you understand the underlying economics of college football you are far, far ahead of traditional media. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142478720848093186']9h9 hours ago[/URL] AAC TV contract will take a hit too. Not all members are created equally... [USER=1014233833]Doug‏ @NebGradDubDub[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/NebGradDubDub/status/1142525777877065728']6h6 hours ago[/URL] Replying to [USER=386000905]@theDudeofWV[/USER] Lost in the Connecticut discussion is the fact that ESPN just lost another property to Fox sports in the east [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142497465045831681']8h8 hours ago[/URL] Good news for the AAC as Pete Thamel reports the AAC’s TV contract with ESPN lacks a termination clause. Also reports TV deal will not be significantly impacted. Be prepared for at least a $7M per year reduction that turns into a slight loss if the AAC replaces UConn. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142499844503875585']8h8 hours ago[/URL] There are imaginary borders stipulated by the FCC that determine what games get broadcast in what market. UConn missed out on the B1G because the FCC included NYC as part of Rutgers home market but not UConn’s. Guess which school had better basket & football TV ratings. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142535299127529473']6h6 hours ago[/URL] AAC TV contract includes "fair negotiation" clause which effectively means the AAC and ESPN will haggle over UConn’s value in regards to any adjustment due to the Huskies leaving. Expect the contract to decrease at least by $7M & perhaps more. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142535541377945600']6h6 hours ago[/URL] For comparison the Big 12’s contract is terminated if Texas or OU leave. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142537022692888576']6h6 hours ago[/URL] Heads up to fans of the AAC.... there’s nobody who comes close to UConn’s value unless the AAC can convince Boise State to be the ultimate outlier. Buffalo is one possibility. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142537114938171392']6h6 hours ago[/URL] If I were in charge I would add Troy. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142537542274822145']6h6 hours ago[/URL] Sorry, forgot Army. Some are mentioning BYU but that’s not going to happen. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142575600848257031']3h3 hours ago[/URL] UConn made the right choice. Colleges & universities cannot continue to throw money away chasing P5 dreams. Millions taken from academics with no ROI. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142576168392171525']3h3 hours ago[/URL] I’m well aware of the intangible benefits of FBS football i.e. increased donations, increased applications etc. But those benefits elude G5 programs losing millions each year. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142588774511206401']2h2 hours ago[/URL] ESPN may let the AAC keep full contract value but would require a GoR. That’s just me postulating based on ESPN’s prior behavior. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142589663988846593']2h2 hours ago[/URL] AAC fans had best be careful impugning UConn’s value. I believe UConn had the largest T3 contract in the AAC & that is a pretty good indicator of core value. [USER=386000905]Christopher Lambert‏ @theDudeofWV[/USER] [URL='https://twitter.com/theDudeofWV/status/1142593878454874114']2h2 hours ago[/URL] Pete Thamel reports AAC term sheet with ESPN includes membership provision. Deal isn’t terminated. [/QUOTE]

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