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Message: [QUOTE="SubbaBub, post: 2932729, member: 523"] LSU was 5-3 in conference, Purdue was 5-4 with an equally quality win. I am attempting to penetrate the delusion that conference rep is statistically significant. Most of the teams/games used to puff up the SEC or any conference is based solely on weak OOC scheduling and a not quite round robin of conference games. Are Bama and Georgia the two best SEC teams, obviously based on a simple look at their record. Are they better than OSU, OU, Clemson, or even UCF? You have no idea because there simply isn't enough data to make that leap objectively. The best example I can give is UCF last season, all the experts said they weren't worthy of a bid because they'd be non-competitive. Well all they did was beat the one team to beat the eventual national champ. I know the Bama/UGA winner will be the best team in the SEC, I know OU/TX winner will be the best team in the B12. I already know that OSU is the best team in the B1G regardless of the NW outcome. They winner of UW/Utah will have the best claim in the P-12, and the UCF/Memphis winner will depending on the score have an asterisked claim in the AAC. The winner in each matchup is the legitimate pool of contenders. You can eliminate Memphis, the P-12, NW, TX, and the loser of the SEC because these aren't play-in games. Whomever is left should get the bids based on 1) number of losses and the balance of quality wins vs suspect losses. And by quality wins, I don't mean teams who are barely over .500 in their conference. Bama would be a quality win for Georgia (and vice versa), Michigan for OSU, OU has none really (TX lost to MD in their only test outside a really bad B12) but it might be enough if not for an undefeated ND and UCF. Clemson's best win is TA&M. Fine if they win, but not enough if they lose without help. They should easily be Pitt, so to simplify this I keep them at 13-0 The correct selection should be either: 1. Bama...….1. ND 2. ND-...…….2. Clemson 3. Clemson..3. UCF 4. UCF...…..…..4. UGA (as champ over Mich and better win/loss over OSU and OU) 5. OSU...…….5. OSU (as champ over Bama) 6. OU...……….6. OU (as champ over Bama) A loss by UCF, Bama or Clemson drops them to the bottom and everyone moves up (OU 2x over TX beats Clemson over TAMU. A 1-loss Bama best win would also be TAMU). The desire to try to overthink this to satisfy the money/power interests of the P5 is the reason the committee exists. We spend an entire season to figure out who isn't the best team, then we make excuses at the end to make sure that name programs/conferences get the nod. [/QUOTE]

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