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Message: [QUOTE="DarthGrumpy, post: 1589392, member: 2141"] Similar to the NYC market, no one college controls the DC market. A conference needs at least 2 teams to make it theirs and two of the major DC teams are a issue as one does not play D1 football (Georgetown) and the other is not a major basketball team (Navy, apologies to the Admiral). The ACC had 2 of the biggest brands in DC in Maryland and UVA; but, let Maryland sneak away to the B1G in the middle of the night. Should the B1G land UVA or V Tech, the ACC will be MIA in the DC market, which is the 9th largest in the US. Now, should UConn somehow end-up in the B1G the XII, the ACC would also be significantly be weakened in the NYC market, which of course is #1. Plus, if UVA leaves, UNC will also leave and that will be the end of the ACC. Oh, by the way, saying BC carries the Boston market is a stretch. Outside of the hockey program, which is not in the ACC, I have seen UConn in the Boston news more than BC over the years at least since Flutie graduated. Between this and BC's status as a 'small' private, non-state flagship, Catholic university, the only chance that BC gets into the B1G is if ND swallows its pride, make amends with U Michigan and others and ND demands that BC join them. A very slim chance. Duke has a higher chance as they are AAU, offer a boat load of research dollars (Duke Med versus no med at BC for example), have a 'decent' basketball pedigree, and I think the B1G wants UNC more than ND. Thus, UNC has more leverage to bring Duke along for the ride than ND would for BC. Plus, ND have proven that it watches out for #1 only. Why do they care about BC? I'm a numbers guy, so I took a lot at the current conference structure and the top 50 US TV markets. I inverted the value (#1 TV market = 50 Points, #50 TV market = 1 point) and then gave 3 points for a market leader, 2 for a split, and 1 for a secondary market presence. This gave me the following: [LIST] [*]ACC: 924 points [*]B1G: 1,232 points [*]PAC: 912 points [*]SEC: 851 points [*]XII: 324 points [/LIST] The B1G has a network, is the by far the TV leader in points at 1,232 and is therefore as a future P4 member (sorry Penn St is not leaving the B1G for the ACC ever). No question. The PAC is at #3 with 912 points and has a TV network and is protected geographically. Thus, they are a lock as a P4 member; but, may look to expand. While sitting forth in points, which should make them vulnerable, The SEC has a TV network and their football brand protects them. They are also a lock to be a P4 conference, while they will likely look to expand. The ACC sits second with 924 points and should be a lock to be a P4 member but, does not have a network and only leads one of the top ten markets (Boston - BC on its own is a stretch; but with ND, too, I give it to them). This dilutes their value to the TV networks and makes it vulnerable to being raided by both the B1G and the SEC in an effort to expand their own markets along with the XII in a fight for survival. The XII only has 324 points and sits fifth as they share their two largest markets with the SEC (DFW & Houston) and lead fairly small markets (Austin & OKC). They should be dead; but, if they can expand by adding UConn (gains a split with the #1 market in NYC and a leader in the #29 market in New Haven/Hartford) and another market (Temple = Philly - #4, USF - Tampa #12, UCF = Orlando #28, UC = Cincinnati - #33) they should be able to live long enough for the GOR's to expire in the mid 2020's and if the ACC fails to secure a network by then, well... [/QUOTE]

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