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[QUOTE="auror, post: 5213600, member: 1329"]
So current last 4 seed on BracketMatrix is Michigan.

9-6 in Q1 (4-3 in Q1A)
5-2 in Q2. 14-8 in Q1+2
No bad losses.
Resume avg - 16
Predictive avg - 29

UConn currently
5-5 in Q1 (4-1 Q1A)
6-3 in Q2 , 11-8 in Q1+2
1 possibly 2 bad losses (Colorado on border)
Resume avg - 37
Predictive avg - 32

Most likely scenario is Seton Hall, Villanova, Creighton, St. John's all on neutral.
That would be Q2, Q1, Q1A wins.
So updated quads would be 7-5 (5-1 Q1A), 7-3 Q2, 14-8 Q1+2.
Have to assume our predictive would slide up into the mid to late 20s and resume would similarly improve to high 20s or low 30s.

I think that's a 5 or 6 seed resume based on current 5 seeds, but they'll all win/lose more games going forward, so may be more like a 6 or 7 seed if the 5s and 6s play decent to end the season. The bad losses will be weighing down our resume average and the predictive average isn't high enough to really offset it such that the committee would be forced to move us up.
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First name of men's bb coach