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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 4568550, member: 1329"] Tennessee and some of the B12 teams losing is good, unfortunately we lost and all the teams on the 4 line that we've been competing with for that now available 3 seed (and also Albany) are still alive and won last night (Xavier, Indiana, Virginia). Increasingly likely one of them passes us. Our KPI took a big hit with that loss (partially because 3 of those teams directly behind us won and passed us.). Creighton fell out of Q1A with their big margin loss. [TABLE] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD]UConn[/TD] [TD]Xavier[/TD] [TD]Indiana[/TD] [TD]Virginia[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Record[/TD] [TD]25-8[/TD] [TD]25-8[/TD] [TD]22-10[/TD] [TD]25-6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]NET[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]19[/TD] [TD]27[/TD] [TD]23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Predict Ave[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]14[/TD] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Resume Ave[/TD] [TD]16.5[/TD] [TD]15.5[/TD] [TD]17[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SoS (non-conf)[/TD] [TD]41 (92)[/TD] [TD]35 (48)[/TD] [TD]12 (101)[/TD] [TD]75 (39)[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Q1 (Q1A)[/TD] [TD]7-6 (3-4)[/TD] [TD]9-5 (4-4)[/TD] [TD]6-8 (4-6)[/TD] [TD]5-4 (1-2)[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Q2[/TD] [TD]6-1[/TD] [TD]4-2[/TD] [TD]6-2[/TD] [TD]6-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Q1+2[/TD] [TD]13-7[/TD] [TD]13-7[/TD] [TD]12-10[/TD] [TD]11-5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bad Losses[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]0[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Away/Neutral[/TD] [TD]10-6[/TD] [TD]10-6[/TD] [TD]7-8[/TD] [TD]10-5[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] I [I]think[/I] we're still on top of this group, but it's tight with Xavier and their strong Q1 record. Any further wins that close the predictive gap and improve their Q1 and resume metrics could be bad. We should root pretty strongly for Marquette over Xavier and Penn State over Indiana. We want Duke over Virginia, too, but Duke is unfortunately knocking on the doorstop now too. If they beat Virginia (metrics estimated with slight bump from today's averages) [TABLE] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD]Duke[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Record[/TD] [TD]26-8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]NET[/TD] [TD]~15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Predict Ave[/TD] [TD]~18[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Resume Ave[/TD] [TD]~17.5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sos (Non-conf)[/TD] [TD]60 (63)[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Q1 (Q1A)[/TD] [TD]5-6 (1-4)[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Q2[/TD] [TD]7-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Q1+2[/TD] [TD]12-8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bad losses[/TD] [TD]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Away/Neutral[/TD] [TD]9-8[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/QUOTE]

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