KnightBridgeAZ
Grand Canyon Knight
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
- Messages
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Skimmed through the various conferences, and think only the 7 "usual suspects" are guaranteed multiple bids (BCS & A10).
On a preliminary basis, the West Coast looks to me to have the best chance at 2 bids without a conference tourney upset, as both Gonzaga and St. Mary's have good resumes and neither are locks to win the conference tourney (BYU and San Diego are in that mix, as well).
Upsets would most likely upset the apple cart (i.e. create a 2nd bid) with the Colonial, Horizon, Missouri Valley and Mountain West, where Deleware, Green Bay, Creighton and San Diego State (respectively) will have a decent chance at a bid if upset in their tourney. I think Princeton is a lock from the Ivy, but with no tourney, expect them to win the automatic bid as well - if they were to fall off that badly, might become questionable.
Marist, Chatanooga and Middle Tennessee from the MAAC, SoCon and Sun Belt may get a looksee if they lose their conference tournaments, but I don't think their resume (at least currently) would stand up.
Don't see any chance for a 2nd bid at all from the remaining conferences.
Math wise, this suggests between 36 and 39 bids for the "big 7", I think of a maximum 40. 39 is my guess with no upsets, and I am suggesting no more than 3 upsets max can be expected.
On a preliminary basis, the West Coast looks to me to have the best chance at 2 bids without a conference tourney upset, as both Gonzaga and St. Mary's have good resumes and neither are locks to win the conference tourney (BYU and San Diego are in that mix, as well).
Upsets would most likely upset the apple cart (i.e. create a 2nd bid) with the Colonial, Horizon, Missouri Valley and Mountain West, where Deleware, Green Bay, Creighton and San Diego State (respectively) will have a decent chance at a bid if upset in their tourney. I think Princeton is a lock from the Ivy, but with no tourney, expect them to win the automatic bid as well - if they were to fall off that badly, might become questionable.
Marist, Chatanooga and Middle Tennessee from the MAAC, SoCon and Sun Belt may get a looksee if they lose their conference tournaments, but I don't think their resume (at least currently) would stand up.
Don't see any chance for a 2nd bid at all from the remaining conferences.
Math wise, this suggests between 36 and 39 bids for the "big 7", I think of a maximum 40. 39 is my guess with no upsets, and I am suggesting no more than 3 upsets max can be expected.
