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NBA Bound Stephan
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[QUOTE="nelsonmuntz, post: 4840916, member: 833"] Like every market, will it reach a tipping point? The Celtics have assembled a powerhouse without a single meaningful contributor from the last SIX drafts (Pritchard is a stretch). Bucks are the second best team in the East, and they have no one from a draft after Giannis. Timberwolves have Edwards, who was the first pick and is a bonafide superstar, but does an obvious star like Edwards justify all the terrible lottery picks made in the last 4 years? And the Timberwolves haven't won anything yet. Nuggets, 76ers and Clippers are all veteran teams. How many 1 and done draft picks from the last 4 years are going to be meaningfully contributing to an NBA team playing in the second round this year? Orlando and Houston have a few if they make it, and some were 19 year old one-and-dones, so we will see about those teams. Holmgren was 20 when he was drafted, more mature, less risky pick. Suggs (1 and D) was 20 when drafted. Jalen Williams is killing it in OKC. Not a 1 and D. Keegan Murray (SAS) is also not a 1 and D. I don't need a poster to compile a list of draft picks from the mid 2010's that shows that some percentage of 19 year old 1 and D players eventually develop. I get that as these players approach their mid-20's, some of them become quality NBA players. My point has always been that the cost to get those players to that point, especially when you include the higher percentage of failures from players that never get there, makes it a very low ROI investment to draft a 1 and Done player unless that player is Anthony Edwards or Paolo Banchero. If you are still grabbing 19 yo 1 and dones at 11, you are throwing your draft pick away. Even waiting one more year gives the NBA scouts so much more information that the risk of failure is much, much less. [/QUOTE]
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