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Message: [QUOTE="Tenspro2002, post: 2542418, member: 889"] Another way to look at it is: - If you think UConn has a better than 68% chance of winning the championship, bet UConn -210 - If you think the Field has a better than 38% chance of winning the championship, bet Field +160 Personally, I would bet the Field. We've already played two games we could have easily lost (ND, Texas), and will probably get 3 games of that quality on the way to a championship. I'd say there's a better than 40% chance we don't win 3 of those games in a row. Big favorites are almost always overrated in Vegas since they tend to get most of the betting action. [/QUOTE]