Lunardi has us as a 7th seed vs . . . | The Boneyard

Lunardi has us as a 7th seed vs . . .

angry coach k GIF by NCAA March Madness

"I'm a what seed, playing who?!"​
 
Somehow Louisville is a 4 seed but 5 spots lower in KenPom 🤷‍♂️
 
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Pshhhh......Championship or Bust!

hahahaha 🤣

Hi-Low said:
Hopefully by March will be in the conversation for a 4 seed or better but making the Tourney will be a happy and proud day for this team & UConn nation!
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I'd like to play Puke too; but wouldn't it be better to play them as a 3 seed (making the Pukies a 14 seed). Can't embarrass them enough for me.
 
geordi said:
I'd like to play Puke too; but wouldn't it be better to play them as a 3 seed (
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extremely unusual for an at-large bid to be worse than a #12 seed. think it's only happened twice and neither was a high major.

7 seed or better is ideal. and i'd rather be a 10 than an 8 or 9. second round against a #1 seed is usually an automatic L e.g. gonzaga or baylor this year.
 
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bendm said:
7 seed or better is ideal. and i'd rather be a 10 than an 8 or 9. second round against a #1 seed is usually an automatic L e.g. gonzaga or baylor this year.
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You can get lucky enough as a 7 seed, particularly if you are badly underseeded—as UConn was in 2014, though they also had a number of breaks—but get me to a 6 seed or higher and they we have a real chance at the second weekend.

The fewer "tough" games we have the better. Their ceiling is probably a 4 seed barring sweeping Villanova or something, and even that is much better than a 6 since you have a decent enough chance of playing a 12 seed rather than a 3 in the second round.
 
Watched Duke for the first time this year. Odd team. Lead by a pretty generic big guy who can shoot a three. A couple young guards who look like regular/good recruits. Not necessarily one and done types. Very beatable team, but a young team. Could be good if everyone returns next year.

They lost tonight. On the road for their next two. Totally possible they are out of the top 25 next week.
 
tzznandrew said:
You can get lucky enough as a 7 seed, particularly if you are badly underseeded—as UConn was in 2014, though they also had a number of breaks—but get me to a 6 seed or higher and they we have a real chance at the second weekend.

The fewer "tough" games we have the better. Their ceiling is probably a 4 seed barring sweeping Villanova or something, and even that is much better than a 6 since you have a decent enough chance of playing a 12 seed rather than a 3 in the second round.
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sure who wouldnt want to be a 4 seed, i'm just not that optimistic yet. but i also think individual matchups are more important than whether you're a 5, 6, or 7 seed. at this point i only dare to dream of a shot at the sweet 16, and not being disappointed if we don't make it that far.
 
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ucawn said:
Duke lost to VT. I bet they stay ranked and VT jumps to top 10 and is proclaimed a dark horse final 4 team
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Well VT did beat Villanova!!! The only team to beat them so far until we take Villanova down twice!!!!
 
Reviewing a couple other Bracketology outlets, and now I'm starting to see others put us down as a #6 seed. Things are definitely improving and more accurately representing our talent and how we are playing. I still think we can continue moving up.
 
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5s lose to 12s A LOT. I feel like at least one a year. I’d rather be a 7 or 6.
 
Dream Jobbed 2.0 said:
5s lose to 12s A LOT. I feel like at least one a year. I’d rather be a 7 or 6.
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The 5s that lose are usually mediocre major conference teams paired up against high performing mid-majors or talented underperforming majors.

Also, historically, 5s beat 12s at a higher rate than 6s beat 11s and 7s beat 10s.

They also have a solid chance of getting a 13 rather than a 4. And they lose to 4s a lower rate than 6s lose to 3s and 7s lose to 2s.

They have similar (but better) odds to the 6 of making the second weekend, and much better odds of doing that than 7s.
 
tzznandrew said:
The 5s that lose are usually mediocre major conference teams paired up against high performing mid-majors or talented underperforming majors.

Also, historically, 5s beat 12s at a higher rate than 6s beat 11s and 7s beat 10s.

They also have a solid chance of getting a 13 rather than a 4. And they lose to 4s a lower rate than 6s lose to 3s and 7s lose to 2s.

They have similar (but better) odds to the 6 of making the second weekend, and much better odds of doing that than 7s.
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Posts 20 and 21 cannot both be true. I demand arbitration!
 
Get a Job said:
Posts 20 and 21 cannot both be true. I demand arbitration!
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I don't think you're reading it right. 7774 is saying the same thing I am: 5s beat 12s at a higher rate than 6s beat 11s.

It's just that 5s losing to 12s feel more like upsets for a variety of reasons. So the person clamoring for a 6-7 seed is really just falling for the hype.
 
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Just noticed that 4 out of the bottom 5 teams in the ACC are OBE teams. At least they have FB, because they don't have BB.
 
In light of the Bouknight surgery these numbers and projections lose a lot of their meaning whatever it was.
 
tzznandrew said:
I don't think you're reading it right. 7774 is saying the same thing I am: 5s beat 12s at a higher rate than 6s beat 11s.

It's just that 5s losing to 12s feel more like upsets for a variety of reasons. So the person clamoring for a 6-7 seed is really just falling for the hype.
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You're right. I misread it. My apologies. Carry on!
 
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